CNX Resources (CNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNX - CNX Resources Corporation
$31.50
-0.02 (-0.06%)
▼
5d:
-3.93%
30d:
-16.18%
90d:
-5.63%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.72
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.80
22.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $31.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.53 to $36.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNX scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.73 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNX scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.73 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.53 -
$36.90
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.73)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 31% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.53 -
$36.90
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.78
Resistance Level
$33.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.28
Wall Street Target
$37.73
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.7%
Profit Margin
44.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 9.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.77
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$28.13
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$26.58
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$31.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.3%)
$135.11
(+329%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 20.3%)
$54.83
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 20.3%)
$46.61
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.24
Bull Case
$21.14
(-33%)
Analyst growth -39.0%, PE expands to 5.6
Base Case
$19.22
(-39%)
Market implied -39.0%, PE stable at 5.1
Bear Case
$21.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$37.29
(+18.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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