CNX Resources (CNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNX - CNX Resources Corporation
$36.54
0.81 (2.27%)
▲
5d:
+1.75%
30d:
+9.37%
90d:
+8.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CNX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.03
25.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $36.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.27 to $35.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNX scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNX scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.27 -
$35.32
Company Quality Score
26/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 26/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.27 -
$35.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.73
Resistance Level
$36.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.74
Wall Street Target
$37.25
(+1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.7%
Profit Margin
44.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.22
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$33.96
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$32.73
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$36.32
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 31.4%)
$188.34
(+415%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 31.4%)
$82.90
(+127%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 31.4%)
$70.47
(+93%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.18
Bull Case
$26.58
(-27%)
Analyst growth -32.4%, PE expands to 6.4
Base Case
$24.17
(-34%)
Market implied -32.4%, PE stable at 5.8
Bear Case
$24.30
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$40.55
(+11.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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