CNX Resources (CNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$36.40
+0.05 (+0.14%)
â˛
5d:
+3.12%
30d:
+4.54%
90d:
+1.9%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (68%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$34.25 â $37.15
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.6x
CHEAP
vs 9.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$38.25
+5.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$34.88 / $38.02
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.47
26.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $36.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.25 to $37.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.88, while resistance sits at $38.02.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.88, while resistance sits at $38.02.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$34.25 -
$37.15
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$34.25 -
$37.15
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$34.88
Resistance Level
$38.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.63
Wall Street Target
$38.25
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.8%
Profit Margin
43.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 9.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.02
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$33.69
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$32.41
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â10)
$36.42
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.8%)
$179.15
(+392%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 28.8%)
$77.85
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 28.8%)
$66.17
(+82%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.11
Bull Case
$27.60
(-24%)
Analyst growth -31.0%, PE expands to 6.5
Base Case
$25.09
(-31%)
Market implied -31.0%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case
$24.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$40.91
(+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CNX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
One bullish trader on StockTwits expresses confidence in buying $CNX at current prices and adding to their position.
Key Retail Themes:
Buyer confidence
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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