California Resources (CRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$47.45
+0.33 (+0.70%)
▲
5d:
-1.84%
30d:
-12.49%
90d:
-10.05%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$50.38 – $54.88
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.4x
CHEAP
vs 17.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$74.58
+57.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$45.45 / $55.70
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.24
Based on -7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRC is currently trading at $47.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.38 to $54.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $45.45, while resistance sits at $55.70.
Market Sentiment: CRC scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.58 (+57.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $45.45, while resistance sits at $55.70.
Market Sentiment: CRC scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.58 (+57.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$50.38 -
$54.88
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$50.38 -
$54.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$45.45
Resistance Level
$55.70
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.2% below Wall St target ($74.58)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.41
Wall Street Target
$74.58
(+57.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
-12.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 17.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.65
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$40.16
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$36.95
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$47.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -18.3%)
$51.22
(+8%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: -18.3%)
$34.59
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: -18.3%)
$29.40
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 17.2
Stabilization Target:
$60.85
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CRC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
CEO Leon Francisco purchased 800 shares of $CRC at $46.63, boosting his total holdings to 333,177 shares.
Key Retail Themes:
CEO buying activity
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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