California Resources (CRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRC - California Resources Corporation
$51.66
0.86 (1.69%)
▲
5d:
-1.47%
30d:
-4.12%
90d:
+0.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.58
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.86
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRC is currently trading at $51.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.72 to $55.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $50.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.33 (+47.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $50.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.33 (+47.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$51.72 -
$55.33
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.8% below Wall St target ($76.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.72 -
$55.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.26
Resistance Level
$55.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.38
Wall Street Target
$76.33
(+47.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.49
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$41.84
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$37.66
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→18)
$53.83
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 4.8%)
$97.99
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 4.8%)
$59.48
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 4.8%)
$50.56
(-2%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$73.84
(+42.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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