CRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRC - California Resources Corporation
$53.34
0.87 (1.66%)
▲
5d:
+6.0%
30d:
-9.39%
90d:
-19.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -15.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -15.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.99
Based on -9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRC is currently trading at $53.34, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.89 to $57.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.45 (+52.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.45 (+52.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$51.89 -
$57.73
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.7% below Wall St target ($81.45)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.89 -
$57.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.93
Resistance Level
$62.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.84
Wall Street Target
$81.45
(+52.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.5%
Profit Margin
-13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 19.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.01
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$43.21
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$38.88
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→19)
$63.73
(+20%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -23.4%)
$71.55
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: -23.4%)
$38.88
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: -23.4%)
$33.05
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 19.4
Stabilization Target:
$87.43
(+63.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+63.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher D Gould
SELL
24347 shares
2026-03-11
Omar Hayat
SELL
23000 shares
2026-03-09
Mark Allen Mcfarland
SELL
16372 shares
2026-03-06
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