CRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRC - California Resources Corporation
$53.24
-0.17 (-0.32%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.13%
30d:
-1.86%
90d:
-14.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CRC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CRC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.10
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.58
28.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRC is currently trading at $53.24, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.49 to $53.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $51.24, while resistance sits at $55.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.55 (+45.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $51.24, while resistance sits at $55.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.55 (+45.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$51.49 -
$53.79
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.7% below Wall St target ($77.55)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.49 -
$53.79
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.24
Resistance Level
$55.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.03
Wall Street Target
$77.55
(+45.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 18.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.92
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$43.12
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$38.81
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â18)
$54.81
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.8%)
$127.41
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 15.8%)
$82.71
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 15.8%)
$70.31
(+32%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 18.4
Stabilization Target:
$75.19
(+41.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher D Gould
SELL
24347 shares
2026-03-11
Omar Hayat
SELL
23000 shares
2026-03-09
Mark Allen Mcfarland
SELL
16372 shares
2026-03-06
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