California Resources (CRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRC - California Resources Corporation
$56.75
0.50 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
+6.23%
30d:
+6.13%
90d:
-0.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.71
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.85
21.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRC is currently trading at $56.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.16 to $54.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CRC scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.00 (+33.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CRC scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.00 (+33.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.16 -
$54.85
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.9% below Wall St target ($76.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.16 -
$54.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.07
Resistance Level
$57.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.43
Wall Street Target
$76.00
(+33.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.42
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$46.58
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$42.20
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→18)
$56.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.6%)
$124.95
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$83.17
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$70.70
(+25%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$76.08
(+34.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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