Comstock Resources (CRK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRK - Comstock Resources, Inc.
$12.78
-0.06 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
-2.59%
30d:
-17.76%
90d:
-9.75%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRK trades at premium valuation expecting 7.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CRK trades at premium valuation expecting 7.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRK is currently trading at $12.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.97 to $14.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.21, while resistance sits at $13.95.
Market Sentiment: CRK scores 94/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.18 (+26.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.21, while resistance sits at $13.95.
Market Sentiment: CRK scores 94/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.18 (+26.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.97 -
$14.99
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (94/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($16.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.5% growth with -25.2% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 29% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.97 -
$14.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.21
Resistance Level
$13.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.14
Wall Street Target
$16.18
(+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-93.0%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.5% premium
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 16.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.74
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$14.77
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$15.88
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 74.9%)
$43.69
(+242%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 74.9%)
$43.13
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 74.9%)
$34.70
(+172%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$7.06
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$6.42
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$8.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 9:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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