CRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRK - Comstock Resources, Inc.
$13.45
-0.02 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
+0.79%
30d:
-3.55%
90d:
-36.94%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRK trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRK trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.60
43.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRK is currently trading at $13.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.96 to $14.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (16.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.44, while resistance sits at $13.86.
Market Sentiment: CRK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.42 (+29.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.44, while resistance sits at $13.86.
Market Sentiment: CRK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.42 (+29.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.96 -
$14.05
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.4% below Wall St target ($17.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.96 -
$14.05
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.44
Resistance Level
$13.86
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.31
Wall Street Target
$17.42
(+29.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.2%
Profit Margin
31.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 16.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.11
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.90
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.81
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→16)
$14.23
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 120.1%)
$87.48
(+550%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 120.1%)
$45.43
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 120.1%)
$38.61
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.21
Bull Case
$7.97
(-41%)
Analyst growth -46.1%, PE expands to 6.7
Base Case
$7.24
(-46%)
Market implied -46.1%, PE stable at 6.1
Bear Case
$9.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 16.4
Stabilization Target:
$19.52
(+45.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 3:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Patrick Mcgough
SELL
48915 shares
2026-03-05
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