CRK Comstock Resources, Inc. CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS Best Oil & Gas Stocks 2026 →

Comstock Resources (CRK): Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$15.07
-0.06 (-0.40%) ▼
5d: +13.14% 30d: +10.0% 90d: +7.18%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (50%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$13.50 – $14.57
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
33.3x STRETCHED
vs 17.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$15.77
+4.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.04 / $15.48
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $14.36 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026

Strength: 6.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.62
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRK is currently trading at $15.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.50 to $14.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.3) compared to its historical average (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 23.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $13.50 - $14.57
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $13.50 - $14.57
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $13.04
Resistance Level $15.48
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.77)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 23.8% growth with -14.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 33.34
Wall Street Target $15.77 (+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -79.8%
Profit Margin 23.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +23.8% premium
PE vs Historical 33.3 vs 17.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +23.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.66 (+24%)
2-Year Target $23.10 (+53%)
3-Year Target $28.59 (+90%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→18) PE COMPRESSION $15.09 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 33.3, Growth: 62.6%) $50.86 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 62.6%) $30.30 (+101%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 62.6%) $25.75 (+71%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case $8.32 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case $7.56 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case $10.29 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CRK)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Moody's revised Comstock Resources' outlook to positive following a $1.65B debt-reduction deal.
Key Retail Themes: Debt reduction deal Moody's positive outlook
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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