Contango ORE (CTGO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTGO - Contango ORE, Inc.
$18.31
-0.57 (-3.02%)
▼
5d:
-9.09%
30d:
-6.58%
90d:
+14.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTGO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTGO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.95
8.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTGO is currently trading at $18.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.68 to $20.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.2) compared to its historical average (4.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTGO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTGO scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.17 (+70.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTGO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTGO scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.17 (+70.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.68 -
$20.40
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.2% below Wall St target ($31.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.5% growth with None% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.68 -
$20.40
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.18
Resistance Level
$20.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.22
Wall Street Target
$31.17
(+70.2%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
5.2 vs 4.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.95
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$19.61
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$20.30
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 1267.4%)
$238.94
(+1205%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: 1267.4%)
$61.80
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.4, Growth: 1267.4%)
$52.53
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Gregory Larimer
SELL
2775 shares
2026-03-19
Michael Aaron Clark
SELL
10075 shares
2026-03-19
Nieuwenhuyse Rick Van
SELL
21621 shares
2026-03-19
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