CTGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTGO - Contango ORE, Inc.
$20.01
-0.32 (-1.57%)
▼
5d:
-0.94%
30d:
+25.77%
90d:
-6.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTGO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CTGO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.21
17.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTGO is currently trading at $20.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.78 to $19.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.7) is in line with its historical norms (4.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTGO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.80, while resistance sits at $21.20.
Market Sentiment: CTGO scores 11/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.00 (+59.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTGO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.80, while resistance sits at $21.20.
Market Sentiment: CTGO scores 11/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.00 (+59.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.78 -
$19.52
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (11/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.9% below Wall St target ($32.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with None% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.78 -
$19.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.80
Resistance Level
$21.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.70
Wall Street Target
$32.00
(+59.9%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 4.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.07
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$20.13
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$20.19
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$20.20
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 743.6%)
$288.56
(+1342%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 743.6%)
$67.53
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 743.6%)
$57.40
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Gregory Larimer
SELL
2775 shares
2026-03-19
Michael Aaron Clark
SELL
10075 shares
2026-03-19
Nieuwenhuyse Rick Van
SELL
21621 shares
2026-03-19
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