RF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RF - Regions Financial Corp.

NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
$30.41
0.19 (0.63%) ▲
5d: -4.67%
30d: -0.82%
90d: +9.74%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 16, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.49
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.90
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RF is currently trading at $30.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.75 to $31.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RF scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $30.75 - $31.76
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.93)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $30.75 - $31.76
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.12
Resistance Level $32.11
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.63
Wall Street Target $32.93 (+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 8.5%
Profit Margin 30.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium
PE vs Historical 10.6 vs 10.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.73 (+2%)
2-Year Target $31.26 (+3%)
3-Year Target $31.79 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $30.20 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.1%) $72.10 (+139%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 8.1%) $38.19 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 9.0, Growth: 8.1%) $32.46 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.37
Bull Case $40.36 (+33%)
Analyst growth 19.9%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case $36.69 (+21%)
Market implied 19.9%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case $20.80 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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