CVX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVX - Chevron Corporation
$182.20
5.80 (3.29%)
▲
5d:
+8.39%
30d:
-4.0%
90d:
-3.37%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
17d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.4/10
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2 traders called CVX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CVX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CVX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$195.37
Based on -3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVX is currently trading at $182.20, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $169.88 to $184.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $180.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $213.91 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $180.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $213.91 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$169.88 -
$184.86
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($213.91)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$169.88 -
$184.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$180.40
Resistance Level
$192.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.48
Wall Street Target
$213.91
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.5%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 18.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.35
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$155.56
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$143.74
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$181.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -10.2%)
$199.75
(+10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: -10.2%)
$132.82
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: -10.2%)
$112.90
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.67
Bull Case
$382.91
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.8
Base Case
$348.10
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$118.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$230.22
(+26.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
R. Hewitt Pate
SELL
40200 shares
2026-03-30
David Taylor
SELL
2026-03-12
David Taylor
SELL
2026-03-11
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVX price and gamma walls.
