CVX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVX - Chevron Corporation
$176.14
1.08 (0.62%)
▲
5d:
-2.36%
30d:
-7.78%
90d:
-14.17%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CVX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$182.77
Based on -4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVX is currently trading at $176.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $179.83 to $191.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $180.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CVX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $216.04 (+23.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $180.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CVX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $216.04 (+23.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$179.83 -
$191.81
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CVX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($216.04)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$179.83 -
$191.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$180.40
Resistance Level
$192.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.93
Wall Street Target
$216.04
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.5%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 18.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$158.43
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$143.38
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$129.76
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$175.12
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -13.6%)
$199.53
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: -13.6%)
$127.62
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: -13.6%)
$108.48
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.75
Bull Case
$381.99
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.2
Base Case
$347.26
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case
$118.07
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$236.25
(+35.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
R. Hewitt Pate
SELL
40200 shares
2026-03-30
David Taylor
SELL
2026-03-12
David Taylor
SELL
2026-03-11
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Advanced CVX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVX price and gamma walls.
