Is CVX stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CVX is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CVX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of CVX stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CVX to be between $204.53 and $220.18. The current price is $226.68.

What is the analyst price target for CVX?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CVX is $230.67. This implies a potential upside of 1.8% from current levels.

Chevron (CVX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CVX - Chevron Corporation

PETROLEUM REFINING

$226.68

-0.10 (-0.04%) ▼

5d: +3.36%

30d: +10.3%

90d: +16.37%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CVX Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 30, 2026 6d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 5, 2026 at $206.47 · last confirmed Oct 16, 2026

Strength: 7.8/10

Get Alerted When CVX Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CVX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -10.2%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$230.72

Based on -3.1% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$143.26

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CVX is currently trading at $226.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.53 to $220.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 321.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $229.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CVX scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $204.53 - $220.18

Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 23.8%

Protect Your Profits

CVX is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($230.67)
WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $204.53 - $220.18

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $210.71

Resistance Level $229.04

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.42

Wall Street Target $230.67 (+1.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 53.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 321.9%

Profit Margin 9.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -5.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 14.4 vs 17.3 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $213.53 (-6%)

2-Year Target $201.15 (-11%)

3-Year Target $189.48 (-16%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→17) $227.27 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -10.2%) $227.54 (+0%)

Base: (SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: -10.2%) $165.25 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 12.3, Growth: -10.2%) $140.46 (-38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 21.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.39

Bull Case $377.34 (+67%)

Analyst growth 51.3%, PE expands to 24.0

Base Case $343.03 (+51%)

Market implied 51.3%, PE stable at 21.8

Bear Case $154.21 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 17.3

Stabilization Target: $271.89 (+19.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +19.9%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is CVX showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for CVX.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Featured in Portfolios

CVX is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.

Warren Buffett Clone Style • +22.5% Return

View All Strategies

Top Rated Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Integrated by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc	STRONG BUY 16 analysts	$37	48 HOLD
SU Suncor Energy Inc	STRONG BUY 21 analysts	$70	43 HOLD
XOM Exxon Mobil Corp	HOLD 25 analysts	$176	40 SELL
YPF YPF Sociedad Anonima	STRONG BUY 13 analysts	$62	51 HOLD
PBR Petroleo Brasileiro Petr…	STRONG BUY 14 analysts	$24	39 SELL

CVE Cenovus Energy Inc

YPF YPF Sociedad Anon…

51 HOLD

PBR Petroleo Brasilei…

39 SELL

Advanced CVX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for CVX

CVX Technical Chart CVX Price Prediction CVX Earnings Date CVX Investment Advisor CVX Fair Price Analyzer CVX Options Advisor CVX Options Chain CVX Options Analysis CVX Competitors

Compare CVX with Peers

CVX vs XOM
Which one to buy?

CVX vs COP
Which one to buy?

CVX vs JNJ
Which one to buy?

CVX vs PG
Which one to buy?

CVX vs OXY
Which one to buy?

OXY vs CVX

CVX vs STX

CVX vs PG
Winner: CVX

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie