Chevron (CVX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$213.28
+2.06 (+0.98%)
▲
5d:
-1.7%
30d:
-2.04%
90d:
+7.88%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
0d
Protect CVX Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$211.45 – $228.96
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.9x
CHEAP
vs 17.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$243.46
+14.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$206.01 / $236.48
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: CVX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $227.77 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$242.59
Based on -2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVX is currently trading at $213.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $211.45 to $228.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 178.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $206.01, while resistance sits at $236.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.46 (+14.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $206.01, while resistance sits at $236.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.46 (+14.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$211.45 -
$228.96
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$211.45 -
$228.96
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$206.01
Resistance Level
$236.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding CVX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($243.46)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.93
Wall Street Target
$243.46
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
178.0%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 17.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$194.30
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$177.01
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$161.25
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$213.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -9.7%)
$241.15
(+13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: -9.7%)
$157.00
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: -9.7%)
$133.45
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.62
Bull Case
$281.39
(+32%)
Analyst growth 21.1%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$255.81
(+20%)
Market implied 21.1%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$143.63
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 17.1
Stabilization Target:
$282.07
(+32.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CVX)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bearish sentiment is prevalent on StockTwits regarding $CVX, with one user suggesting a short entry as the stock is expected to drop to the 200 level soon. The latest article from Yahoo Finance discusses the tax savings potential of holding dividend stocks in a Roth IRA, specifically focusing on Chevron as one of six blue-chip dividend payers.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividend stocks
Roth IRA
Tax savings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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