Clearway Energy (CWEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CWEN - Clearway Energy, Inc. Class C Common Stock

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$31.14
-0.45 (-1.42%) ▼
5d: -1.05%
30d: -9.42%
90d: -17.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CWEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.50
37.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CWEN is currently trading at $31.14, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.68 to $33.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (30.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 296.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CWEN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CWEN scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.08 (+35.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $31.68 - $33.62
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 35.1% below Wall St target ($42.08)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $31.68 - $33.62
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.95
Resistance Level $33.38
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.02
Wall Street Target $42.08 (+35.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 22.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 296.6%
Profit Margin 6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.0 vs 30.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.03 (-10%)
2-Year Target $25.22 (-19%)
3-Year Target $22.70 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→31) $36.77 (+18%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 36.5%) $83.92 (+170%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 36.5%) $79.13 (+154%)
Bear: (PE: 16.2, Growth: 36.5%) $67.26 (+116%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case $66.94 (+115%)
Analyst growth 92.6%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case $60.86 (+95%)
Market implied 92.6%, PE stable at 37.2
Bear Case $21.48 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 30.8
Stabilization Target: $50.44 (+62.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +62.0%
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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