Clearway Energy (CWEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CWEN - Clearway Energy, Inc. Class C Common Stock
$31.14
-0.45 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
-1.05%
30d:
-9.42%
90d:
-17.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CWEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CWEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.50
37.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CWEN is currently trading at $31.14, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.68 to $33.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (30.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 296.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWEN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CWEN scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.08 (+35.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWEN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CWEN scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.08 (+35.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$31.68 -
$33.62
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.1% below Wall St target ($42.08)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.68 -
$33.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.95
Resistance Level
$33.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.02
Wall Street Target
$42.08
(+35.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
296.6%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 30.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$25.22
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$22.70
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→31)
$36.77
(+18%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 36.5%)
$83.92
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 36.5%)
$79.13
(+154%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 36.5%)
$67.26
(+116%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$66.94
(+115%)
Analyst growth 92.6%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case
$60.86
(+95%)
Market implied 92.6%, PE stable at 37.2
Bear Case
$21.48
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 30.8
Stabilization Target:
$50.44
(+62.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+62.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CWEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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