CXT
Crane NXT, Co.
MISCELLANEOUS FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS
Crane NXT (CXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$57.97
-0.55 (-0.94%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.92%
30d:
+10.9%
90d:
+12.72%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (46%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$51.84 â $59.77
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.4x
STRETCHED
vs 10.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$72.29
+24.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$54.92 / $63.57
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CXT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.29
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CXT is currently trading at $57.97, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.84 to $59.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CXT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.92, while resistance sits at $63.57.
Market Sentiment: CXT scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.29 (+24.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CXT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.92, while resistance sits at $63.57.
Market Sentiment: CXT scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.29 (+24.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$51.84 -
$59.77
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$51.84 -
$59.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$54.92
Resistance Level
$63.57
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.7% below Wall St target ($72.29)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.2% growth with 11.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.40
Wall Street Target
$72.29
(+24.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.1%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 10.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.56
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$65.38
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$69.43
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.25
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.5%)
$115.46
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 7.5%)
$72.07
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 7.5%)
$60.46
(+4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.20
Bull Case
$128.74
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$117.04
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.6
Bear Case
$39.79
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:33 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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