DVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DVN - Devon Energy Corporation
$43.05
0.93 (2.21%)
▲
5d:
-4.99%
30d:
-11.16%
90d:
-11.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.55
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DVN is currently trading at $43.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.48 to $47.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.81 (+41.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.81 (+41.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$43.48 -
$47.72
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DVN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.2% below Wall St target ($60.81)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.48 -
$47.72
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.20
Resistance Level
$47.08
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.93
Wall Street Target
$60.81
(+41.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 9.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.38
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$37.88
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$35.53
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$43.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -1.4%)
$113.40
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: -1.4%)
$41.28
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: -1.4%)
$35.09
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.59
Bull Case
$70.07
(+63%)
Analyst growth 51.2%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$63.70
(+48%)
Market implied 51.2%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$28.64
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$52.12
(+21.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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