Devon Energy (DVN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$43.41
+1.01 (+2.38%)
▲
5d:
-8.84%
30d:
-11.34%
90d:
-3.23%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect DVN Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$45.63 – $51.39
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.9x
FAIR
vs 9.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$61.52
+41.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$40.60 / $52.28
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: DVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 26, 2026 at $51.64 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.09
Based on -4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DVN is currently trading at $43.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.63 to $51.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.60, while resistance sits at $52.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.52 (+41.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.60, while resistance sits at $52.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.52 (+41.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$45.63 -
$51.39
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$45.63 -
$51.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$40.60
Resistance Level
$52.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding DVN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.7% below Wall St target ($61.52)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.8%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.87
Wall Street Target
$61.52
(+41.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
74.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.3%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.45
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$41.52
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$40.61
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$43.51
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -12.5%)
$70.89
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: -12.5%)
$31.65
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -12.5%)
$26.90
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.26
Bull Case
$53.60
(+24%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$48.73
(+12%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$28.83
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$46.51
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DVN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
In Q3 2023, $DVN reported a significant increase in Discretionary Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow, totaling $3.5 billion and $2 billion, respectively. These figures surpassed the prior periods and were within guidance for both metrics.
Key Retail Themes:
Financial Performance
Production Guidance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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