DVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DVN - Devon Energy Corporation
$49.10
-0.20 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
+7.09%
30d:
+8.41%
90d:
+4.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $42.98 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DVN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DVN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.98
Based on -4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DVN is currently trading at $49.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.95 to $46.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DVN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.38 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DVN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.38 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.95 -
$46.67
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DVN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($59.38)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.95 -
$46.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.65
Resistance Level
$49.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.21
Wall Street Target
$59.38
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
64.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
17.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.57
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$52.09
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$53.65
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.86
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -13.2%)
$70.35
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: -13.2%)
$35.79
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: -13.2%)
$30.42
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.71
Bull Case
$55.36
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.1%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$50.33
(+3%)
Market implied 2.1%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$33.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DVN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DVN price and gamma walls.
