Emera (EMA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EMA - Emera Incorporated
$48.33
0.96 (2.03%)
▲
5d:
+2.68%
30d:
+0.27%
90d:
-12.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EMA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EMA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.90
Based on 1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EMA is currently trading at $48.33, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.51 to $48.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EMA scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EMA scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$46.51 -
$48.67
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.51 -
$48.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.14
(4.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.27
Resistance Level
$47.81
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.33
Wall Street Target
$50.00
(+5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.4%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.38
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$45.40
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$44.45
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$47.28
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -2.0%)
$48.24
(+2%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: -2.0%)
$44.53
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: -2.0%)
$37.85
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.29
Bull Case
$58.69
(+24%)
Analyst growth 12.8%, PE expands to 22.7
Base Case
$53.35
(+13%)
Market implied 12.8%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$32.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$50.39
(+6.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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