PG&E (PCG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PCG - PG&E Corporation
$12.17
-0.08 (-0.65%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.22%
30d:
-13.44%
90d:
-28.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PCG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PCG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.40
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.53
16.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PCG is currently trading at $12.17, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.11 to $15.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PCG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.77, while resistance sits at $13.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.22 (+57.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PCG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.77, while resistance sits at $13.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.22 (+57.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.11 -
$15.97
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PCG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.9% below Wall St target ($19.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.11 -
$15.97
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.77
Resistance Level
$13.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.76
Wall Street Target
$19.22
(+57.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.8%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 9.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.95
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.86
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.87
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â9)
$12.35
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.4%)
$48.07
(+295%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$15.92
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$13.53
(+11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.40
Bull Case
$17.34
(+43%)
Analyst growth 28.7%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$15.76
(+30%)
Market implied 28.7%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$8.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$16.94
(+39.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 6:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
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