Evolution Petroleum (EPM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPM - Evolution Petroleum Corporation
$3.75
-0.01 (-0.40%)
▼
5d:
+2.04%
30d:
+4.03%
90d:
-2.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
18d
Get Alerted When EPM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EPM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EPM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPM is currently trading at $3.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.56 to $3.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 75.2) compared to its historical average (88.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.00 (+33.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.00 (+33.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.56 -
$3.74
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.0% below Wall St target ($5.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.56 -
$3.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.60
Resistance Level
$3.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
75.20
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(+33.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
-2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
75.2 vs 88.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.56
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$3.36
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$3.18
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 75→89)
$3.76
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 75.2 to 88.8
Stabilization Target:
$4.44
(+18.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is EPM showing a specific setup today?
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$61 | 52 HOLD |
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$237 | 51 HOLD |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$123 | 44 HOLD |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 53 HOLD |
|
EQT
EQT Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$67 | 45 HOLD |
