Evolution Petroleum (EPM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$3.44
-0.13 (-3.64%)
▼
5d:
-2.27%
30d:
-8.51%
90d:
-8.27%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$3.54 – $3.84
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
71.4x
CHEAP
vs 87.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.00
+40.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.20 / $3.93
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EPM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPM is currently trading at $3.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.54 to $3.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 71.4) compared to its historical average (87.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $3.20, while resistance sits at $3.92. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: EPM scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.00 (+40.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $3.20, while resistance sits at $3.92. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: EPM scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.00 (+40.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.54 -
$3.84
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$3.54 -
$3.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$3.20
Resistance Level
$3.93
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.1% below Wall St target ($5.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
71.40
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(+40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
-2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
71.4 vs 87.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.33
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$3.11
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$2.91
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 71→88)
$3.57
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 71.4 to 87.7
Stabilization Target:
$4.39
(+22.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EPM)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Mar 24, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment towards $EPM despite a recent drop in stock price due to a smaller decrease in oil prices than expected. The trader notes that oil prices have nearly doubled in the last month, leading to a small gain for $EPM.
Key Retail Themes:
Impact of oil prices on $EPM
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
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