Evolution Petroleum (EPM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPM - Evolution Petroleum Corporation
$3.72
-0.12 (-3.12%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.54%
30d:
-0.27%
90d:
-12.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 15, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EPM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EPM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPM is currently trading at $3.72, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.52 to $3.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 74.4) compared to its historical average (92.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.57, while resistance sits at $3.87. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: EPM scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.88 (+31.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.57, while resistance sits at $3.87. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: EPM scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.88 (+31.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.52 -
$3.77
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.0% below Wall St target ($4.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.52 -
$3.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.57
Resistance Level
$3.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
74.40
Wall Street Target
$4.88
(+31.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.7%
Profit Margin
-4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
74.4 vs 92.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.46
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$3.22
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$3.00
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 74â92)
$3.72
(0%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 74.4 to 92.1
Stabilization Target:
$4.60
(+23.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
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