EPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EPM - Evolution Petroleum Corporation

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$3.53
-0.02 (-0.56%) ▼
5d: -6.12%
30d: -10.41%
90d: -22.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 15, 2026 22d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EPM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EPM is currently trading at $3.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.58 to $3.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 117.7) compared to its historical average (93.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EPM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.25, while resistance sits at $3.90.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.94 (+39.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $3.58 - $3.87
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.9% below Wall St target ($4.94)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.1% growth with -10.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.58 - $3.87
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.25
Resistance Level $3.90
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 117.67
Wall Street Target $4.94 (+39.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -66.7%
Profit Margin -4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.1% premium
PE vs Historical 117.7 vs 93.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.82 (+8%)
2-Year Target $4.13 (+17%)
3-Year Target $4.46 (+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 118→93) PE COMPRESSION $3.53 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
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