ERIE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ERIE - Erie Indemnity Co
$259.25
9.99 (4.01%)
▲
5d:
+12.74%
30d:
+24.92%
90d:
+4.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ERIE is 9.2% above its trading range ($237.41). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ERIE is 9.2% above its trading range ($237.41). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ERIE is currently trading at $259.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $214.03 to $237.41.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $231.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ERIE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $231.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ERIE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$214.03 -
$237.41
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
11th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.5%
Protect Your Profits
ERIE is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 11th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 55.6% above Wall St target ($115.00)
- CAUTION: Extended 9.2% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$214.03 -
$237.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$13.15
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$204.63
Resistance Level
$231.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.74
Wall Street Target
$115.00
(-55.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 02, 2026 10:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ERIE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
4
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
John Fetterman
BUY
2026-03-30
John Fetterman
BUY
2026-03-27
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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Advanced ERIE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ERIE price and gamma walls.
