Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ERIE - Erie Indemnity Co

INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE
$245.03
4.63 (1.93%) ▲
5d: -5.16%
30d: -5.09%
90d: +8.42%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ERIE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ERIE is currently trading at $245.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $247.93 to $261.90.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $235.95, while resistance sits at $263.25.

Market Sentiment: ERIE scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $247.93 - $261.90
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 8th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 53.1% above Wall St target ($115.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $247.93 - $261.90
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$11.21 (4.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $235.95
Resistance Level $263.25
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.74
Wall Street Target $115.00 (-53.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 3.2%
Profit Margin 14.0%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
John Fetterman BUY 2026-03-30
John Fetterman BUY 2026-03-27
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23

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Advanced ERIE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ERIE price and gamma walls.

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