Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ERIE - Erie Indemnity Co
$221.09
-1.02 (-0.46%)
▼
5d:
-0.79%
30d:
-14.44%
90d:
-14.02%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ERIE shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.
📊 HOLD: ERIE shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ERIE is currently trading at $221.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $227.26 to $256.10.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $216.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ERIE scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $216.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ERIE scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$227.26 -
$256.10
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
7th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
87.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ERIE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 48.0% above Wall St target ($115.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 29% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$227.26 -
$256.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$10.86
(4.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$216.75
Resistance Level
$239.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.74
Wall Street Target
$115.00
(-48.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ERIE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ERIE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ERIE price and gamma walls.
