ESPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ESPR - Esperion Therapeutics, Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$3.18
-0.01 (-0.31%) â–ŧ
5d: +0.63%
30d: +1.27%
90d: +45.87%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ESPR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -34.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.23
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.35
49.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ESPR is currently trading at $3.18, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (38.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 34.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ESPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 62.9%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($3.19)
  • WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.15
Resistance Level $3.19
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 10, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.89
Wall Street Target $3.19 (+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.2%
Profit Margin -1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -34.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.9 vs 38.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -34.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.86 (-10%)
2-Year Target $2.58 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.32 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→39) $8.22 (+158%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 38.6
Stabilization Target: $11.27 (+254.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +254.4%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Benjamin Halladay SELL 6424 shares 2026-03-17
Benjamin Looker SELL 5708 shares 2026-03-17

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