ESPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ESPR - Esperion Therapeutics, Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$3.16
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
5d: +0.32%
30d: +0.96%
90d: +20.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.23
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.35
50.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ESPR is currently trading at $3.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.13 to $3.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (41.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 35.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ESPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $3.13 - $3.15
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.2%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($3.19)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.13 - $3.15
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.14
Resistance Level $3.17
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.82
Wall Street Target $3.19 (+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.2%
Profit Margin -1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -35.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.8 vs 41.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -35.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.84 (-10%)
2-Year Target $2.56 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.30 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→41) $8.73 (+176%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 41.0
Stabilization Target: $11.97 (+278.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +278.9%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Benjamin Halladay SELL 6424 shares 2026-03-17
Benjamin Looker SELL 5708 shares 2026-03-17
Benjamin Looker SELL 1689 shares 2026-01-20

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Advanced ESPR Option Strategies

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