EVH
Evolent Health, Inc Class A Common Stock
SERVICES-MANAGEMENT SERVICES
Evolent Health (EVH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.99
+0.19 (+3.96%)
▲
5d:
+3.96%
30d:
+8.48%
90d:
+7.08%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect EVH Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (32%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$4.14 – $4.82
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.7x
FAIR
vs 10.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.92
+18.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.09 / $5.01
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EVH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.42
8.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVH is currently trading at $4.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.14 to $4.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: EVH scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.92 (+18.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: EVH scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.92 (+18.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.14 -
$4.82
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$4.14 -
$4.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$4.09
Resistance Level
$5.01
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding EVH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.68
Wall Street Target
$5.92
(+18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
51.3%
Profit Margin
-21.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.17
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$5.36
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$5.55
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.99
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 77.1%)
$28.63
(+474%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 77.1%)
$16.84
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 77.1%)
$14.32
(+187%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EVH)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows bullish sentiment towards $EVH, with one user noting that earnings were better than the previous quarter.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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