Evolent Health (EVH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVH - Evolent Health, Inc Class A Common Stock
$4.89
0.06 (1.24%)
▲
5d:
+0.41%
30d:
+35.08%
90d:
+15.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EVH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EVH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.13
4.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVH is currently trading at $4.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.51 to $4.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.98, while resistance sits at $5.12.
Market Sentiment: EVH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.75 (+17.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.98, while resistance sits at $5.12.
Market Sentiment: EVH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.75 (+17.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.51 -
$4.45
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EVH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.9% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.51 -
$4.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.98
Resistance Level
$5.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.11
Wall Street Target
$5.75
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.9%
Profit Margin
-24.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 10.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.13
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$5.39
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$5.66
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.91
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 102.1%)
$27.07
(+454%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 102.1%)
$16.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 102.1%)
$14.03
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced EVH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EVH price and gamma walls.
