EXE
Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock
CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
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Expand Energy (EXE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$88.63
+0.69 (+0.78%)
â˛
5d:
+1.51%
30d:
-4.05%
90d:
-6.39%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (94%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$87.30 â $92.77
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.8x
FAIR
vs 10.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$123.33
+40.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$84.28 / $92.88
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EXE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 11, 2026 at $88.39 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 5.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.16
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXE is currently trading at $88.63, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.30 to $92.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $84.28, while resistance sits at $92.88.
Market Sentiment: EXE scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.33 (+40.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $84.28, while resistance sits at $92.88.
Market Sentiment: EXE scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.33 (+40.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$87.30 -
$92.77
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$87.30 -
$92.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$84.28
Resistance Level
$92.88
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.2% below Wall St target ($123.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 11.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.84
Wall Street Target
$123.33
(+40.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.8%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.29
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$88.64
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$89.00
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.83
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.0%)
$129.54
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: -7.0%)
$70.72
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: -7.0%)
$60.11
(-32%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.59
Bull Case
$66.17
(-25%)
Analyst growth -30.0%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case
$60.16
(-32%)
Market implied -30.0%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$58.45
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EXE)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
EXE is focusing on marketing growth despite weak gas prices, with a projected $80 million in marketing and commercial EBITDA for Q4 2026. Management aims for a $500 million marketing and commercial EBITDA run rate by 2028, with a longer-term goal of $750 million as LNG opportunities develop.
Key Retail Themes:
Marketing growth
Price weakness
LNG opportunities
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
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Advanced EXE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EXE price and gamma walls.
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Part A: Deep-Dive EXE Research Pages
