Exponent (EXPO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPO - Exponent Inc
$67.21
-0.12 (-0.18%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.05%
30d:
-0.64%
90d:
+18.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EXPO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EXPO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.45
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPO is currently trading at $67.21, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.08 to $70.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.00 (+25.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.00 (+25.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$67.08 -
$70.29
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($84.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.08 -
$70.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.31
Resistance Level
$71.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.68
Wall Street Target
$84.00
(+25.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.7 vs 25.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.33
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$63.50
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$61.72
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â26)
$67.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.7, Growth: 13.0%)
$96.90
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.0%)
$82.52
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.0%)
$70.15
(+4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.23
Bull Case
$94.25
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 33.2
Base Case
$85.68
(+28%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case
$45.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.7 to 25.8
Stabilization Target:
$73.22
(+8.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3909 shares
2026-04-15
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