Exponent (EXPO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPO - Exponent Inc
$67.30
-2.60 (-3.72%)
▼
5d:
+4.86%
30d:
-3.9%
90d:
+10.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EXPO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EXPO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.81
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPO is currently trading at $67.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.85 to $70.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.55, while resistance sits at $70.67. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.00 (+24.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.55, while resistance sits at $70.67. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.00 (+24.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$65.85 -
$70.25
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($84.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.85 -
$70.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.55
Resistance Level
$70.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.74
Wall Street Target
$84.00
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 25.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$65.83
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$65.10
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$67.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 12.9%)
$96.85
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.9%)
$79.86
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 12.9%)
$67.88
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.38
Bull Case
$87.89
(+31%)
Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 32.3
Base Case
$79.90
(+19%)
Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$47.53
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 25.6
Stabilization Target:
$69.64
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3909 shares
2026-04-15
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