Exponent (EXPO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPO - Exponent Inc
$77.11
3.96 (5.41%)
▲
5d:
+6.68%
30d:
+17.89%
90d:
+25.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXPO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXPO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.81
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPO is currently trading at $77.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.87 to $71.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.4) compared to its historical average (25.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$65.87 -
$71.97
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($84.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.87 -
$71.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.42
Resistance Level
$77.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.35
Wall Street Target
$84.00
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
28.4 vs 25.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.73
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$82.44
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$85.25
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.99
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.3, Growth: 12.9%)
$110.96
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$77.75
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$66.08
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.25
Bull Case
$97.29
(+26%)
Analyst growth 20.9%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case
$88.44
(+15%)
Market implied 20.9%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$49.74
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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