EXPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPO - Exponent Inc
$57.35
1.48 (2.65%)
▲
5d:
+0.19%
30d:
+0.51%
90d:
-13.54%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EXPO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EXPO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.75
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.56
8.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPO is currently trading at $57.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.20 to $58.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.8) compared to its historical average (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.67 (+42.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.67 (+42.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$56.20 -
$58.84
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.4% below Wall St target ($81.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.20 -
$58.84
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.33
Resistance Level
$60.43
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.78
Wall Street Target
$81.67
(+42.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Profit Margin
19.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 26.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.70
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$48.44
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$44.51
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→27)
$57.41
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.8%)
$83.99
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 11.8%)
$80.13
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$68.11
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$79.26
(+38%)
Analyst growth 29.0%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case
$72.05
(+26%)
Market implied 29.0%, PE stable at 26.1
Bear Case
$37.99
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.8 to 26.8
Stabilization Target:
$73.97
(+29.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3909 shares
2026-04-15
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3912 shares
2026-03-16
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3920 shares
2026-02-17
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