EXPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPO - Exponent Inc
$70.21
0.83 (1.20%)
▲
5d:
+4.63%
30d:
+17.06%
90d:
+23.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXPO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXPO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.79
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPO is currently trading at $70.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.73 to $68.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.7) is in line with its historical norms (25.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $70.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.00 (+19.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $70.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.00 (+19.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$62.73 -
$68.54
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.73 -
$68.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.27
Resistance Level
$70.38
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.72
Wall Street Target
$84.00
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 25.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.16
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$68.12
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$67.10
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$70.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 13.1%)
$101.49
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$82.41
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$70.04
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.21
Bull Case
$98.09
(+40%)
Analyst growth 28.5%, PE expands to 34.5
Base Case
$89.17
(+27%)
Market implied 28.5%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$47.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 25.8
Stabilization Target:
$73.28
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3909 shares
2026-04-15
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
3912 shares
2026-03-16
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