Exponent (EXPO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$86.20
+0.20 (+0.23%)
▲
5d:
-1.41%
30d:
+20.97%
90d:
+26.37%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$70.44 – $83.37
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
29.5x
FAIR
vs 25.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$90.67
+5.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$77.02 / $90.51
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXPO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.49
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPO is currently trading at $86.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.44 to $83.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.5) compared to its historical average (25.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.02, while resistance sits at $90.51.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.02, while resistance sits at $90.51.
Market Sentiment: EXPO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$70.44 -
$83.37
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$70.44 -
$83.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$77.02
Resistance Level
$90.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($90.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.53
Wall Street Target
$90.67
(+5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
29.5 vs 25.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.17
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$94.31
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$98.65
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.5, Growth: 13.8%)
$126.88
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$85.33
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$72.53
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.32
Bull Case
$119.03
(+38%)
Analyst growth 25.8%, PE expands to 40.8
Base Case
$108.21
(+26%)
Market implied 25.8%, PE stable at 37.1
Bear Case
$58.48
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EXPO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Exponent declared a $0.31 quarterly cash dividend for Q4 2026 and reported Q3 2026 financial results.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
dividend announcement
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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