FLS Flowserve Corporation PUMPS & PUMPING EQUIPMENT

Flowserve (FLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$85.20
-0.46 (-0.54%) ▼
5d: +4.95% 30d: +19.21% 90d: +4.99%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
33/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$69.06 – $80.28
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.3x FAIR
vs 16.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$91.20
+7.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$71.51 / $86.94
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FLS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.02
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.80
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FLS is currently trading at $85.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.06 to $80.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FLS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $86.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FLS scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $69.06 - $80.28
Company Quality Score 33/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 22.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $69.06 - $80.28
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $71.51
Resistance Level $86.94
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.1% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($91.20)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 5.4% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.33
Wall Street Target $91.20 (+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -51.5%
Profit Margin 5.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium
PE vs Historical 18.3 vs 16.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $87.67 (+3%)
2-Year Target $90.21 (+6%)
3-Year Target $92.83 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→17) PE COMPRESSION $85.08 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.8%) $129.15 (+52%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 11.8%) $119.20 (+40%)
Bear: (PE: 15.6, Growth: 11.8%) $101.32 (+19%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.00
Bull Case $188.45 (+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.1
Base Case $171.32 (+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.8
Bear Case $58.25 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FLS)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The construction pump market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.1% from $7.17 billion in 2025 to $10.09 billion by 2030, driven by infrastructure development, smart cities, automated construction equipment, and high-performance pumping systems.
Key Retail Themes: Construction pump market growth Infrastructure development Smart cities
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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