FOSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FOSL - Fossil Group, Inc.

WATCHES, CLOCKS, CLOCKWORK OPERATED DEVICES/PARTS
$4.23
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
5d: +1.44%
30d: +1.93%
90d: -6.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FOSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FOSL is currently trading at $4.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.01 to $4.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -18.4) compared to its historical average (46.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.95, while resistance sits at $4.58.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+65.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $4.01 - $4.31
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 65.5% below Wall St target ($7.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.01 - $4.31
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.95
Resistance Level $4.59
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -18.39
Wall Street Target $7.00 (+65.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -81.7%
Profit Margin -6.2%
PE vs Historical -18.4 vs 46.9 CHEAP
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Last updated: July 02, 2026 10:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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