FOSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOSL - Fossil Group, Inc.
$4.14
0.14 (3.50%)
▲
5d:
+1.47%
30d:
-3.5%
90d:
-24.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FOSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FOSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOSL is currently trading at $4.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.05 to $4.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -17.4) compared to its historical average (46.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.85, while resistance sits at $4.30. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: FOSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+75.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.85, while resistance sits at $4.30. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: FOSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+75.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.05 -
$4.28
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 75.0% below Wall St target ($7.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.05 -
$4.28
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.86
Resistance Level
$4.31
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-17.39
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+75.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.7%
Profit Margin
-6.2%
PE vs Historical
-17.4 vs 46.9
CHEAP
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 16, 2026 10:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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