Fossil Group (FOSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOSL - Fossil Group, Inc.
$6.04
0.02 (0.25%)
▲
5d:
-5.85%
30d:
+12.8%
90d:
+45.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
Get Alerted When FOSL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FOSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOSL is currently trading at $6.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.93 to $5.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 46.3) is in line with its historical norms (46.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.85, while resistance sits at $6.50.
Market Sentiment: FOSL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+49.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.85, while resistance sits at $6.50.
Market Sentiment: FOSL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+49.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.93 -
$5.89
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.5% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with -4.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.93 -
$5.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.52
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.85
Resistance Level
$6.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.31
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+49.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.7%
Profit Margin
-7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
46.3 vs 46.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.03
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$6.03
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$6.04
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→46)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.02
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 29, 2026 11:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FOSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Footwear & Accessories Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Footwear & Accessories by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ONON
On Holding Ltd |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$43 | 35 SELL |
|
NKE
Nike Inc |
HOLD
38 analysts |
$47 | 78 BUY |
|
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$51 | 54 HOLD |
|
DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corporat… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$120 | 66 BUY |
|
WWW
Wolverine World Wide Inc |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$24 | 63 BUY |
