FOSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOSL - Fossil Group, Inc.
$4.17
0.14 (3.47%)
▲
5d:
-0.24%
30d:
+2.71%
90d:
+1.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 25, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOSL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FOSL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0% growth. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOSL is currently trading at $4.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.01 to $4.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -18.1) compared to its historical average (46.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.95, while resistance sits at $4.58. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: FOSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+67.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.95, while resistance sits at $4.58. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: FOSL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+67.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.01 -
$4.30
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 67.9% below Wall St target ($7.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.01 -
$4.30
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.54
(13.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.95
Resistance Level
$4.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-18.13
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+67.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.7%
Profit Margin
-6.2%
PE vs Historical
-18.1 vs 46.9
CHEAP
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 26, 2026 7:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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