FOSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOSL - Fossil Group, Inc.
$4.11
-0.03 (-0.85%)
▼
5d:
-0.36%
30d:
-1.79%
90d:
-26.7%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOSL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOSL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOSL is currently trading at $4.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.07 to $4.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -18.0) compared to its historical average (46.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.85, while resistance sits at $4.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+69.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.85, while resistance sits at $4.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+69.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$4.07 -
$4.28
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 69.1% below Wall St target ($7.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.07 -
$4.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.46
(11.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.86
Resistance Level
$4.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-18.00
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+69.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.7%
Profit Margin
-6.2%
PE vs Historical
-18.0 vs 46.9
CHEAP
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 20, 2026 2:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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