FOSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOSL - Fossil Group, Inc.
$4.01
-0.14 (-3.37%)
▼
5d:
-4.52%
30d:
-7.6%
90d:
-10.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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1 traders called FOSL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOSL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOSL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOSL is currently trading at $4.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.05 to $4.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 40.1) compared to its historical average (48.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.71, while resistance sits at $4.58. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+74.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.71, while resistance sits at $4.58. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+74.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.05 -
$4.46
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 74.6% below Wall St target ($7.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.05 -
$4.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.52
(13.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.71
Resistance Level
$4.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.10
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+74.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.7%
Profit Margin
-6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
40.1 vs 48.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.77
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$3.55
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$3.34
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→48)
$4.02
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 40.1 to 48.2
Stabilization Target:
$4.82
(+20.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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