Flotek Industries (FTK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FTK - Flotek Industries, Inc.

MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS
$23.20
-1.90 (-7.57%) ▼
5d: -6.19%
30d: -23.76%
90d: -10.22%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTK is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.39
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.08
7.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FTK is currently trading at $23.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.37 to $30.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.9) is in line with its historical norms (24.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FTK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: FTK scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.92 (+67.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $25.37 - $30.21
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 89.2%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 67.7% below Wall St target ($38.92)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $25.37 - $30.21
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.41 (10.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.68
Resistance Level $27.83
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.95
Wall Street Target $38.92 (+67.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 70.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 420.0%
Profit Margin 13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.2% premium
PE vs Historical 25.0 vs 24.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.25 (+0%)
2-Year Target $23.29 (+0%)
3-Year Target $23.34 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→25) PE COMPRESSION $23.20 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.9, Growth: 20.0%) $40.09 (+73%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.0%) $31.92 (+38%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 20.0%) $27.13 (+17%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.93
Bull Case $27.61 (+19%)
Analyst growth 0.0%, PE expands to 29.7
Base Case $25.10 (+8%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.0
Bear Case $17.07 (-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced FTK Option Strategies

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