Why is FWRG Down Today?

FWRG
$13.50
▼ -2.56% ($-0.35)
Last updated: Nov 10, 2026 8:30 PM ET (615 min ago)

About First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Common Stock

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is a daytime restaurant concept serving made-to-order breakfast, brunch, and lunch using fresh ingredients. It generates revenues from Restaurant sales and Franchise revenues.

Sector: RETAIL-EATING PLACES
Market Cap: $959.30M
Forward P/E: 45.1
52-Week Range: $9.88 - $18.75
Employees: 15,000

Overall Confidence: 50%

50% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

MOMENTUM 50% Confidence
🎯 FWRG showing strong bearish momentum
FWRG is down 2.6% today on 0.3x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.3x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

RETAIL-EATING PLACES sector: -0.6%

FWRG is outperforming its sector by -1.9%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

FWRG is significantly underperforming the market (-2.2% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
-0.37%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
-0.68%
FWRG
This Stock
-2.56%
vs S&P 500: -2.19%
vs Nasdaq: -1.88%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, FWRG is expected to trade between:
$13.09 - $13.76

Key Level to Watch

$12.82 support
Watch for breakdown below $13.49

🔔 Get FWRG Alerts

We'll notify you when FWRG's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Nov 10, 2026 8:30 PM (615 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Historical Context

FWRG has moved more than 3.0% down on 37 occasions in the past year.

56.8%
Continuation Rate
21/37 times continued down
-0.23%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Oct 23, 2026 (-5.8%) → Next day: +1.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is FWRG stock down today?

FWRG is down 2.6% today on 0.3x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

Is FWRG stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, FWRG shows 50% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the FWRG stock price target?

FWRG is currently trading at $13.50. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $13.09 - $13.76. See long-term price prediction →

Will FWRG stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that FWRG's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $12.82 (support).

Is FWRG stock oversold or overbought?

FWRG's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 62.1. This shows bullish momentum - the stock has positive momentum but isn't overextended yet.

What is the momentum for FWRG stock?

FWRG's 10-day momentum indicator is at 2.35. Strong bullish momentum - the stock is gaining significant upward force. This often precedes continued gains.

Is FWRG outperforming or underperforming the market?

FWRG (-2.56%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-2.2% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is down -0.37%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is down -0.68%.

What does MACD indicate for FWRG?

FWRG's MACD (0.6) is currently above the signal line (0.45), indicating a bullish trend. This technical signal suggests buying pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 30.9) is strong.

Is FWRG in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, FWRG is in a bullish trend. The price ($13.50) is trading above both the 20-day SMA ($12.32) and 50-day SMA ($11.45). This alignment typically indicates sustained upward momentum.

Check Why Another Stock is Moving

Enter any ticker symbol to see real-time analysis

Popular: AAPL TSLA NVDA MSFT META AMZN GOOGL