Why is GEO Up Today?

GEO
$31.19
▲ +2.35% (+$0.73)
Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 6:36 PM ET (616 min ago)

About The GEO Group, Inc.

The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, rep...

Sector: GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS
Market Cap: $3.06B
Forward P/E: 10.2
52-Week Range: $12.51 - $33.15
Employees: 16,500

Overall Confidence: 70%

70% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

OPTIONS 75% Confidence
🎯 Unusual CALL buying detected
Options traders are heavily buying calls on GEO, with 90% of volume in calls. This suggests bullish institutional positioning.
SECTOR 65% Confidence
GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS sector moving together
This appears to be a sector-wide move. The GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS sector is up 1.3% on average.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.4x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS sector: +1.3%

This appears to be a sector-wide move. Most GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS stocks are moving in the same direction.

Market Comparison

GEO is significantly outperforming the market (+2.2% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.18%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.31%
GEO
This Stock
+2.35%
vs S&P 500: +2.17%
vs Nasdaq: +2.04%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, GEO is expected to trade between:
$30.56 - $32.12

Key Level to Watch

$32.74 resistance
Watch for continuation above $31.18

🔔 Get GEO Alerts

We'll notify you when GEO's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 6:36 PM (616 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.09
Put/Call Ratio
79.1%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 112,426
Put Volume: 10,517
Total: 122,943
Unusual Activity: $29 CALL (9,502 vol) $34 CALL (9,253 vol) $29 CALL (9,250 vol)

Historical Context

GEO has moved more than 3.0% up on 33 occasions in the past year.

51.5%
Continuation Rate
17/33 times continued up
+0.33%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar up moves
Last similar move: Sep 24, 2026 (4.4%) → Next day: -2.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is GEO stock up today?

Options traders are heavily buying calls on GEO, with 90% of volume in calls. This suggests bullish institutional positioning.

Is GEO stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, GEO shows 70% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the GEO stock price target?

GEO is currently trading at $31.19. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $30.56 - $32.12. See long-term price prediction →

Will GEO stock continue rising?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that GEO's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $32.74 (resistance).

Is GEO stock oversold or overbought?

GEO's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 48.2. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for GEO stock?

GEO's 10-day momentum indicator is at -1.35. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is GEO outperforming or underperforming the market?

GEO (+2.35%) is currently significantly outperforming the market (+2.2% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.18%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.31%.

What does MACD indicate for GEO?

GEO's MACD (-0.16) is currently below the signal line (-0.09), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 13.1) is weak.

Is GEO in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, GEO is in a bearish trend. The price ($31.19) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($31.14) and 50-day SMA ($31.21). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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