Greenfire Resources (GFR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.68
-0.05 (-0.65%)
▼
5d:
+24.47%
30d:
+21.14%
90d:
+8.17%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (14%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$5.96 – $7.03
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.6x
CHEAP
vs 17.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.75
-25.1% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$5.41 / $7.81
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GFR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When GFR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.83
54.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFR is currently trading at $7.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.96 to $7.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GFR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.75. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GFR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.75. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.96 -
$7.03
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
14.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$5.96 -
$7.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$5.41
Resistance Level
$7.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 25.1% above Wall St target ($5.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.60
Wall Street Target
$5.75
(-25.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.2%
Profit Margin
-6.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 17.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.22
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.60
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→17)
$10.15
(+32%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 233.3%)
$53.62
(+598%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 233.3%)
$25.92
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 233.3%)
$22.03
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$13.92
(+81.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+81.2%
Share GFR Analysis
Share this live GFR analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GFR)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Canadian oil producer Strathcona Resources announced a C$2.7-2.9 billion deal to acquire Greenfire Resources, offering a 39% premium to shareholders. The combined company is expected to have 153,000 barrels per day production and over 3 billion barrels of reserves.
Key Retail Themes:
M&A activity
Production growth
Reserve expansion
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GFR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$62 | 58 HOLD |
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$239 | 50 HOLD |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$123 | 46 HOLD |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 53 HOLD |
|
OVV
Ovintiv Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$82 | 58 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive GFR Research Pages
