Graco (GGG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GGG - Graco Inc
$78.00
0.24 (0.31%)
▲
5d:
+0.18%
30d:
+0.44%
90d:
+3.08%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GGG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GGG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.53
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GGG is currently trading at $78.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.39 to $79.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.3) is in line with its historical norms (24.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GGG scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.29 (+17.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GGG scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.29 (+17.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$76.39 -
$79.31
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($91.29)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 14% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.39 -
$79.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.04
Resistance Level
$78.77
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.31
Wall Street Target
$91.29
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.3 vs 24.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.97
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$74.00
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$72.07
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→24)
$77.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.4%)
$93.84
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.4%)
$85.79
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 6.4%)
$72.92
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.22
Bull Case
$92.86
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.6%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case
$84.42
(+8%)
Market implied 8.6%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$52.88
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.3 to 24.1
Stabilization Target:
$84.24
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GGG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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