GGG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GGG - Graco Inc
$73.92
-0.08 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-2.31%
30d:
+0.61%
90d:
-15.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GGG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GGG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.92
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GGG is currently trading at $73.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.93 to $75.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.9) compared to its historical average (24.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GGG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.71 (+22.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GGG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.71 (+22.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$73.93 -
$75.78
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($90.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.93 -
$75.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.48
Resistance Level
$77.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.89
Wall Street Target
$90.71
(+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.9 vs 24.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.96
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$68.12
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$65.40
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→25)
$73.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$95.51
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.9%)
$95.01
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 8.9%)
$80.76
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.06
Bull Case
$89.82
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case
$81.65
(+11%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$50.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.9 to 24.7
Stabilization Target:
$83.40
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GGG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Angela F Wordell
SELL
2832 shares
2026-02-06
Timothy R White
SELL
1469 shares
2026-02-04
J Kevin Gilligan
SELL
12870 shares
2026-02-03
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