GGG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GGG - Graco Inc
$73.79
-0.26 (-0.35%)
▼
5d:
-2.93%
30d:
-5.26%
90d:
-20.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GGG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GGG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.99
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GGG is currently trading at $73.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.29 to $82.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.8) compared to its historical average (25.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+24.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+24.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$75.29 -
$82.06
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.7% below Wall St target ($92.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.29 -
$82.06
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.56
Resistance Level
$77.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.83
Wall Street Target
$92.00
(+24.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 25.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.32
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$67.02
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$63.87
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→25)
$74.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.1%)
$96.09
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$95.72
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 9.1%)
$81.36
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.06
Bull Case
$92.27
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case
$83.88
(+11%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case
$51.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.8 to 25.3
Stabilization Target:
$85.54
(+15.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GGG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Angela F Wordell
SELL
2832 shares
2026-02-06
Timothy R White
SELL
1469 shares
2026-02-04
J Kevin Gilligan
SELL
12870 shares
2026-02-03
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