GGG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GGG - Graco Inc
$74.16
-1.35 (-1.79%)
▼
5d:
-1.32%
30d:
-1.53%
90d:
-12.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GGG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GGG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.99
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GGG is currently trading at $74.16, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.33 to $76.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.9) compared to its historical average (25.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GGG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+24.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GGG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+24.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$74.33 -
$76.38
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($92.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.33 -
$76.38
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.48
Resistance Level
$77.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.93
Wall Street Target
$92.00
(+24.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.9 vs 25.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.05
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$68.06
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$65.20
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→25)
$74.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.1%)
$96.20
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$95.52
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.1%)
$81.19
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.06
Bull Case
$91.77
(+24%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$83.43
(+13%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$51.35
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.9 to 25.0
Stabilization Target:
$84.52
(+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GGG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Angela F Wordell
SELL
2832 shares
2026-02-06
Timothy R White
SELL
1469 shares
2026-02-04
J Kevin Gilligan
SELL
12870 shares
2026-02-03
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