GGG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GGG - Graco Inc
$79.92
0.54 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
-0.65%
30d:
+6.22%
90d:
+0.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GGG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GGG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.37
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GGG is currently trading at $79.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.39 to $78.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.6) is in line with its historical norms (24.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $73.02, while resistance sits at $83.41.
Market Sentiment: GGG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.29 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $73.02, while resistance sits at $83.41.
Market Sentiment: GGG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.29 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$73.39 -
$78.53
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($91.29)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.39 -
$78.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.02
Resistance Level
$83.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.65
Wall Street Target
$91.29
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 24.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.32
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$75.31
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$73.35
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→25)
$79.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 6.3%)
$95.22
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.3%)
$87.15
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 6.3%)
$74.08
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.14
Bull Case
$98.22
(+24%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$89.29
(+13%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$54.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 24.5
Stabilization Target:
$85.87
(+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GGG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Angela F Wordell
SELL
2832 shares
2026-02-06
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