GGG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GGG - Graco Inc
$80.64
-1.07 (-1.31%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.59%
30d:
+3.72%
90d:
+7.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GGG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GGG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.40
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GGG is currently trading at $80.64, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.98 to $83.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.9) is in line with its historical norms (24.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GGG scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.29 (+13.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GGG scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.29 (+13.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$75.98 -
$83.09
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($91.29)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.98 -
$83.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.50
Resistance Level
$84.30
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.92
Wall Street Target
$91.29
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 24.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.95
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$77.29
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$75.67
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â24)
$80.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: 6.7%)
$98.08
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.7%)
$85.90
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 6.7%)
$73.01
(-10%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.15
Bull Case
$100.41
(+25%)
Analyst growth 11.7%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$91.28
(+13%)
Market implied 11.7%, PE stable at 25.9
Bear Case
$55.56
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.9 to 24.4
Stabilization Target:
$85.86
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GGG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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