GGG
Graco Inc
PUMPS & PUMPING EQUIPMENT
Graco (GGG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$72.98
+3.28 (+4.71%)
▲
5d:
+4.59%
30d:
-8.57%
90d:
-11.28%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$67.95 – $79.67
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.1x
CHEAP
vs 23.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$83.29
+14.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$66.99 / $73.03
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GGG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Get Alerted When GGG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.82
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GGG is currently trading at $72.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.95 to $79.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.1) compared to its historical average (23.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: GGG scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.29 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GGG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: GGG scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.29 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$67.95 -
$79.67
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$67.95 -
$79.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$66.99
Resistance Level
$73.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($83.29)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.10
Wall Street Target
$83.29
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
22.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 23.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.13
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$67.40
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$64.77
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→24)
$73.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.1, Growth: 7.1%)
$89.53
(+23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.1%)
$84.27
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 7.1%)
$71.63
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.10
Bull Case
$85.55
(+17%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case
$77.77
(+7%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$47.40
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.1 to 23.8
Stabilization Target:
$82.32
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
Share GGG Analysis
Share this live GGG analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GGG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 24, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Graco Inc (GGG) reported record Q2 sales of $591 million and net earnings of $145 million, representing a 3% and 14% increase YoY respectively. Gross and operating margins also improved. The acquisition of Valco Melton is expected to boost growth.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings Beat
Record Sales
Strategic Acquisition
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GGG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Industrial Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
GEV
GE Vernova LLC |
STRONG BUY
38 analysts |
$1183 | 60 HOLD |
|
ETN
Eaton Corporation PLC |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$477 | 57 HOLD |
|
EMR
Emerson Electric Company |
BUY
30 analysts |
$182 | 53 HOLD |
|
PH
Parker-Hannifin Corporat… |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$1140 | 47 HOLD |
|
CMI
Cummins Inc |
BUY
22 analysts |
$709 | 54 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive GGG Research Pages
