GHLD
Guild Holdings Company
MORTGAGE BANKERS & LOAN CORRESPONDENTS
Guild (GHLD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$20.01
+0.14 (+0.70%)
▲
5d:
+0.6%
30d:
+0.81%
90d:
+0.45%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.9x
FAIR
vs 9.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$20.00
Consensus price target
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$19.83 / $20.08
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GHLD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.07
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHLD is currently trading at $20.01, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHLD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $19.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GHLD scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHLD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $19.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GHLD scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
77.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$19.83
Resistance Level
$20.08
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 26, 2025
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 74.8% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.89
Wall Street Target
$20.00
Revenue Growth (YoY)
74.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.0%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.47
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$20.94
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$21.42
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.92
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
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