Gulfport Energy (GPOR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GPOR - Gulfport Energy Corporation

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$176.30
-0.03 (-0.02%) â–ŧ
5d: -2.3%
30d: +2.94%
90d: +5.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: GPOR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$299.79
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$186.15
5.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GPOR is currently trading at $176.30, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $164.90 to $179.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GPOR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $171.00, while resistance sits at $183.24.

Market Sentiment: GPOR scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $221.50 (+25.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $164.90 - $179.26
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($221.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $164.90 - $179.26
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $171.00
Resistance Level $183.24
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 10, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.41
Wall Street Target $221.50 (+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -16.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -46.8%
Profit Margin 36.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.4 vs 6.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $174.36 (-1%)
2-Year Target $172.44 (-2%)
3-Year Target $170.55 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→7) $175.64 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.3%) $894.90 (+408%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 17.3%) $284.34 (+61%)
Bear: (PE: 5.4, Growth: 17.3%) $241.69 (+37%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $26.29
Bull Case $202.96 (+15%)
Analyst growth 4.6%, PE expands to 7.4
Base Case $184.51 (+5%)
Market implied 4.6%, PE stable at 6.7
Bear Case $119.90 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 6.6
Stabilization Target: $181.56 (+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.0%
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jason Joseph Martinez SELL 400 shares 2026-04-02

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