GPRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRK - GEOPARK LIMITED
$9.75
0.16 (1.67%)
▲
5d:
-2.5%
30d:
+7.73%
90d:
+0.72%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GPRK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GPRK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.06
42.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $9.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.23 to $10.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.7) compared to its historical average (5.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.08, while resistance sits at $10.69.
Market Sentiment: GPRK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.08, while resistance sits at $10.69.
Market Sentiment: GPRK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.23 -
$10.02
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.72)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.23 -
$10.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.08
Resistance Level
$10.69
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.73
Wall Street Target
$10.73
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.7 vs 5.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.78
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.90
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.11
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$10.28
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 138.6%)
$182.78
(+1775%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.7, Growth: 138.6%)
$32.91
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.2, Growth: 138.6%)
$27.97
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$21.10
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$19.18
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$6.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.7 to 5.4
Stabilization Target:
$14.11
(+44.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Franklin Park
SELL
100000 shares
2026-04-20
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