GEOPARK (GPRK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRK - GEOPARK LIMITED
$11.48
-0.49 (-4.09%)
▼
5d:
-3.53%
30d:
+23.84%
90d:
+3.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GPRK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GPRK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.62
1.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $11.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.23 to $11.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (5.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.70, while resistance sits at $13.13. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: GPRK scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.70, while resistance sits at $13.13. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: GPRK scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.23 -
$11.20
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
15.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($10.85)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.23 -
$11.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.70
Resistance Level
$13.13
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.45
Wall Street Target
$10.85
(-5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 5.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.17
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$12.90
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$13.67
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 62.8%)
$121.17
(+956%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 62.8%)
$38.75
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 62.8%)
$32.44
(+183%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$16.39
(+43%)
Analyst growth 24.5%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$14.90
(+30%)
Market implied 24.5%, PE stable at 8.4
Bear Case
$8.14
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Franklin Park
SELL
100000 shares
2026-04-20
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