GPRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRK - GEOPARK LIMITED
$9.79
0.01 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
+3.38%
30d:
-4.58%
90d:
+0.82%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GPRK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GPRK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.62
15.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $9.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.34 to $9.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.5) is in line with its historical norms (5.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $10.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPRK scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.85 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $10.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPRK scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.85 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.34 -
$9.95
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.85)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.34 -
$9.95
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.05
Resistance Level
$10.01
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.50
Wall Street Target
$10.85
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 5.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.88
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$9.97
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$10.06
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.87
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 62.8%)
$120.57
(+1132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: 62.8%)
$33.04
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 62.8%)
$28.09
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.42
Bull Case
$13.49
(+38%)
Analyst growth 25.4%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$12.26
(+25%)
Market implied 25.4%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$6.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Franklin Park
SELL
100000 shares
2026-04-20
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