GEOPARK (GPRK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.32
+0.04 (+0.43%)
▲
5d:
-1.17%
30d:
-21.28%
90d:
-0.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
62/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$10.39 – $11.73
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.1x
FAIR
vs 5.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$11.23
+21.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.99 / $10.98
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPRK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.36
10.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $9.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.39 to $11.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.1) is in line with its historical norms (5.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.99, while resistance sits at $10.98.
Market Sentiment: GPRK scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.22 (+21.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.99, while resistance sits at $10.98.
Market Sentiment: GPRK scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.22 (+21.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.39 -
$11.73
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$10.39 -
$11.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$8.99
Resistance Level
$10.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.0% below Wall St target ($11.22)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.07
Wall Street Target
$11.23
(+21.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 5.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.54
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$9.81
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$10.08
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 65.1%)
$102.55
(+1005%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: 65.1%)
$31.32
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 65.1%)
$26.62
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.25
Bull Case
$12.67
(+37%)
Analyst growth 22.4%, PE expands to 8.3
Base Case
$11.52
(+24%)
Market implied 22.4%, PE stable at 7.5
Bear Case
$6.40
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GPRK)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A user on StockTwits ranked $GPRK as the 11th best energy company using Stock Meadow's Value style scoring model.
Key Retail Themes:
Value investing in $GPRK
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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