GEOPARK (GPRK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRK - GEOPARK LIMITED
$10.41
-0.04 (-0.38%)
âŧ
5d:
-8.2%
30d:
-7.3%
90d:
+14.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GPRK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GPRK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.84
12.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $10.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.19 to $11.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.8) is in line with its historical norms (5.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GPRK scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GPRK scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.19 -
$11.73
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.85)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.19 -
$11.73
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.26
Resistance Level
$11.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.85
Wall Street Target
$10.85
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
5.9 vs 5.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.65
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$10.89
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$11.14
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â6)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.48
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 62.8%)
$122.55
(+1077%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 62.8%)
$35.13
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: 62.8%)
$29.86
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$14.31
(+37%)
Analyst growth 24.5%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$13.01
(+25%)
Market implied 24.5%, PE stable at 7.3
Bear Case
$7.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Franklin Park
SELL
100000 shares
2026-04-20
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