GEOPARK (GPRK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRK - GEOPARK LIMITED
$11.72
0.17 (1.47%)
▲
5d:
+1.65%
30d:
+5.49%
90d:
+17.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GPRK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GPRK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.84
1.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $11.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.85 to $11.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (5.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.32, while resistance sits at $12.10.
Market Sentiment: GPRK scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.32, while resistance sits at $12.10.
Market Sentiment: GPRK scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.85 -
$11.70
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($10.85)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.5% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.85 -
$11.70
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.32
Resistance Level
$12.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.49
Wall Street Target
$10.85
(-6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 5.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.19
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$12.86
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$13.56
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.50
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 62.8%)
$119.31
(+933%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 62.8%)
$38.98
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 62.8%)
$33.04
(+186%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.45
Bull Case
$15.77
(+37%)
Analyst growth 22.8%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case
$14.34
(+24%)
Market implied 22.8%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$7.94
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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