GPRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRK - GEOPARK LIMITED
$10.00
0.11 (1.11%)
▲
5d:
+6.95%
30d:
-8.68%
90d:
+6.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GPRK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.8% annual earnings decline despite 44% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GPRK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.8% annual earnings decline despite 44% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.69
43.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $10.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.30 to $10.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.8) compared to its historical average (5.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.54, while resistance sits at $11.87.
Market Sentiment: GPRK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.54, while resistance sits at $11.87.
Market Sentiment: GPRK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.30 -
$10.68
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.47)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.30 -
$10.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.54
Resistance Level
$11.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.83
Wall Street Target
$10.48
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.8 vs 5.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.00
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.10
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.29
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$10.67
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 138.6%)
$192.04
(+1820%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.8, Growth: 138.6%)
$33.75
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.3, Growth: 138.6%)
$28.69
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$21.89
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$19.90
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$6.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.8 to 5.6
Stabilization Target:
$14.63
(+46.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Franklin Park
SELL
100000 shares
2026-04-20
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