GRNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRNT - Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
$4.61
-0.05 (-1.07%)
▼
5d:
+3.36%
30d:
-4.95%
90d:
-17.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GRNT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.5% annual earnings decline despite 59% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GRNT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.5% annual earnings decline despite 59% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.58
29.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRNT is currently trading at $4.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.45 to $4.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.2) compared to its historical average (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 59.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRNT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GRNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.60 (+64.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRNT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GRNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.60 (+64.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.45 -
$4.91
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 64.9% below Wall St target ($7.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.45 -
$4.91
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.68
Resistance Level
$5.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.20
Wall Street Target
$7.60
(+64.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
59.2%
Profit Margin
-7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 8.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.36
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$4.12
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$3.89
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$4.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 58.4%)
$47.04
(+921%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 58.4%)
$15.56
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 58.4%)
$13.22
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$5.44
(+18.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 2:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ronald Kyle Kettler
BUY
3000 shares
2026-03-13
Matthew Reade Miller
BUY
658 shares
2026-03-13
John Mccartney
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-12
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