Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRNT - Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
$4.44
-0.10 (-2.20%)
▼
5d:
-9.39%
30d:
-11.2%
90d:
-2.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 25, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Get Alerted When GRNT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GRNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GRNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.34
39.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRNT is currently trading at $4.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.77 to $5.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRNT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $4.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.80 (+75.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRNT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $4.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.80 (+75.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.77 -
$5.22
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 75.7% below Wall St target ($7.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.77 -
$5.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.41
Resistance Level
$5.38
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 25, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.00
Wall Street Target
$7.80
(+75.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.00
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.60
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$4.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 70.1%)
$50.85
(+1045%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 70.1%)
$14.99
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 70.1%)
$12.74
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$6.07
(+36.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 27, 2026 4:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GRNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$235 | 49 HOLD |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$126 | 52 HOLD |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 53 HOLD |
|
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$60 | 55 HOLD |
|
COP
ConocoPhillips |
BUY
27 analysts |
$146 | 49 HOLD |
