Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRNT - Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
$5.08
0.00 (0.00%)
â˛
5d:
+0.4%
30d:
+9.01%
90d:
+5.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GRNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GRNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.86
26.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRNT is currently trading at $5.08, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.76 to $5.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRNT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GRNT scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.60 (+49.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRNT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GRNT scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.60 (+49.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$4.76 -
$5.17
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.6% below Wall St target ($7.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.76 -
$5.17
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.91
Resistance Level
$5.18
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.43
Wall Street Target
$7.60
(+49.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 8.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.89
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$4.71
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$4.54
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â8)
$5.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 60.6%)
$46.70
(+819%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 60.6%)
$17.14
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 60.6%)
$14.57
(+187%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$5.68
(+11.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 07, 2026 3:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ronald Kyle Kettler
BUY
3000 shares
2026-03-13
Matthew Reade Miller
BUY
658 shares
2026-03-13
John Mccartney
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-12
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