Gran Tierra Energy (GTE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTE - Gran Tierra Energy Inc.
$10.79
-0.22 (-2.00%)
▼
5d:
+6.73%
30d:
+15.4%
90d:
+35.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GTE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTE is currently trading at $10.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.75 to $10.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GTE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.49. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GTE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.49. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.75 -
$10.53
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 39.8% above Wall St target ($6.49)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.6% growth with 25.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.75 -
$10.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.70
Resistance Level
$11.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.97
Wall Street Target
$6.49
(-39.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.2%
Profit Margin
-40.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 8.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.50
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$12.26
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$13.07
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 1515.7%)
$73.69
(+583%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 1515.7%)
$36.42
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 1515.7%)
$29.96
(+178%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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