Hackett Group Inc (The). (HCKT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HCKT - Hackett Group Inc (The).

SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
$12.28
-0.36 (-2.85%) ▼
5d: +8.67%
30d: +20.27%
90d: +21.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026 10d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HCKT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.68
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.98
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HCKT is currently trading at $12.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.28 to $11.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 193.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HCKT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.21, while resistance sits at $12.67.

Market Sentiment: HCKT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.67 (+35.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.28 - $11.67
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 35.7% below Wall St target ($16.67)
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.28 - $11.67
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.21
Resistance Level $12.67
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.71
Wall Street Target $16.67 (+35.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 193.2%
Profit Margin 5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.7 vs 7.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.17 (-1%)
2-Year Target $12.06 (-2%)
3-Year Target $11.95 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) $12.25 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.1%) $42.27 (+244%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 10.1%) $16.40 (+34%)
Bear: (PE: 6.6, Growth: 10.1%) $13.94 (+14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.66
Bull Case $27.81 (+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case $25.28 (+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case $8.60 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 7.9
Stabilization Target: $12.59 (+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.5%
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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