HCKT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HCKT - Hackett Group Inc (The).
$11.00
-0.54 (-4.68%)
▼
5d:
-1.7%
30d:
-19.71%
90d:
-21.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HCKT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.4% annual earnings decline despite 54% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HCKT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.4% annual earnings decline despite 54% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.25
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.19
16.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HCKT is currently trading at $11.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.90 to $12.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.6) compared to its historical average (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HCKT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.41, while resistance sits at $12.20. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: HCKT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.67 (+60.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HCKT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.41, while resistance sits at $12.20. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: HCKT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.67 (+60.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.90 -
$12.68
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 60.6% below Wall St target ($17.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.90 -
$12.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.41
Resistance Level
$12.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.61
Wall Street Target
$17.67
(+60.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.5%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 8.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.97
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$9.03
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$8.18
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$11.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$49.89
(+354%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 11.0%)
$15.04
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 11.0%)
$12.79
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case
$24.62
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$22.38
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$7.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.82
(+34.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HCKT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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