HSTM
HealthStream Inc
SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
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HealthStream (HSTM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$28.71
-0.14 (-0.49%)
▼
5d:
-9.35%
30d:
-14.2%
90d:
+1.23%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$30.84 – $34.48
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
31.2x
FAIR
vs 29.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$36.00
+25.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$28.21 / $35.44
Trend: Support Break
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HSTM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.14
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSTM is currently trading at $28.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.84 to $34.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.2) is in line with its historical norms (29.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSTM is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $28.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HSTM scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.00 (+25.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSTM is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $28.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HSTM scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.00 (+25.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.84 -
$34.48
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$30.84 -
$34.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$28.21
Resistance Level
$35.44
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.4% below Wall St target ($36.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with 8.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.21
Wall Street Target
$36.00
(+25.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
31.2 vs 29.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.23
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$29.75
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$30.29
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.2, Growth: 5.7%)
$33.95
(+18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$21.61
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$18.37
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.70
Bull Case
$41.71
(+45%)
Analyst growth 31.4%, PE expands to 45.3
Base Case
$37.92
(+32%)
Market implied 31.4%, PE stable at 41.2
Bear Case
$19.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HSTM)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
HealthStream reported Q3 2026 earnings, beating EPS estimates, and announced a cash dividend. Revenues grew by 8.9% YoY, but operating income decreased.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings
dividend
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 10, 2026 9:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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