HealthStream (HSTM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSTM - HealthStream Inc
$29.11
0.23 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
-2.12%
30d:
+2.64%
90d:
+11.02%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HSTM trades at premium valuation expecting 5.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HSTM trades at premium valuation expecting 5.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.76
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSTM is currently trading at $29.11, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.37 to $29.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.6) compared to its historical average (28.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.15, while resistance sits at $30.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.50 (+19.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.15, while resistance sits at $30.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.50 (+19.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$28.37 -
$29.36
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.37 -
$29.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.15
Resistance Level
$30.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.63
Wall Street Target
$34.50
(+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.4%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
32.6 vs 28.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.32
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$31.84
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$33.43
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.6, Growth: 21.2%)
$51.46
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 21.2%)
$31.81
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 21.2%)
$27.04
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$38.76
(+34%)
Analyst growth 22.9%, PE expands to 43.8
Base Case
$35.24
(+22%)
Market implied 22.9%, PE stable at 39.8
Bear Case
$19.50
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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