INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS (IBP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBP - INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC.
$198.13
10.26 (5.46%)
â˛
5d:
+5.42%
30d:
-2.3%
90d:
-12.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IBP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IBP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$289.83
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBP is currently trading at $198.13, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.10 to $200.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $199.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: IBP scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $199.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: IBP scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$186.10 -
$200.40
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($213.46)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$186.10 -
$200.40
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$176.15
Resistance Level
$199.44
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.39
Wall Street Target
$213.46
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
8.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 22.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$186.64
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$175.81
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$165.62
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â22)
$198.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.2%)
$242.15
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 4.2%)
$224.17
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 4.2%)
$190.55
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.20
Bull Case
$242.06
(+22%)
Analyst growth 17.1%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$220.06
(+11%)
Market implied 17.1%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$127.75
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$237.08
(+19.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL
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