IBP
INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC.
GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS
INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS (IBP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$209.54
-2.91 (-1.37%)
▼
5d:
-10.99%
30d:
+11.3%
90d:
-14.85%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (38%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$185.54 – $215.58
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.8x
FAIR
vs 21.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$221.27
+5.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$198.94 / $238.66
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: IBP is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$217.48
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$135.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBP is currently trading at $209.54, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $185.54 to $215.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.8) is in line with its historical norms (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $198.94, while resistance sits at $238.66.
Market Sentiment: IBP scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $198.94, while resistance sits at $238.66.
Market Sentiment: IBP scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$185.54 -
$215.58
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$185.54 -
$215.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$198.94
Resistance Level
$238.66
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($221.27)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.77
Wall Street Target
$221.27
(+5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.2%
Profit Margin
7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 21.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$209.12
(0%)
2-Year Target
$208.70
(0%)
3-Year Target
$208.29
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
$209.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -2.7%)
$193.19
(+-8%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -2.7%)
$176.28
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -2.7%)
$149.83
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.34
Bull Case
$269.76
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.4%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$245.24
(+17%)
Market implied 15.4%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$144.47
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.8 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$210.84
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (IBP)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Goldman Sachs maintained its buy rating on Installed Building Products (IBP), but lowered its price target to $285.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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