INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS (IBP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBP - INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC.
$204.28
2.56 (1.27%)
▲
5d:
-14.06%
30d:
-15.92%
90d:
-1.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: IBP is down 14.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: IBP is down 14.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$354.84
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$220.33
7.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBP is currently trading at $204.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $225.65 to $250.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (22.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $196.04, while resistance sits at $247.34.
Market Sentiment: IBP scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $244.82 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $196.04, while resistance sits at $247.34.
Market Sentiment: IBP scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $244.82 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$225.65 -
$250.13
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($244.82)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$225.65 -
$250.13
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$196.04
Resistance Level
$247.34
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.93
Wall Street Target
$244.82
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
8.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 22.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$188.75
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$174.41
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$161.15
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→23)
$203.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$298.49
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 9.1%)
$265.40
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$225.59
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.26
Bull Case
$272.95
(+34%)
Analyst growth 23.0%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$248.14
(+22%)
Market implied 23.0%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$137.17
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 22.7
Stabilization Target:
$258.57
(+26.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-24
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