IBP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBP - INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC.
$222.53
-2.60 (-1.15%)
▼
5d:
-1.42%
30d:
+13.74%
90d:
-22.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$369.52
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$229.45
3.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBP is currently trading at $222.53, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.65 to $226.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (23.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $224.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $224.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$205.65 -
$226.57
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($233.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$205.65 -
$226.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$195.40
Resistance Level
$224.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.89
Wall Street Target
$233.27
(+4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.3%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 23.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$211.18
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$200.41
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$190.19
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→23)
$222.82
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$328.82
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$300.25
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$255.21
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.37
Bull Case
$295.72
(+33%)
Analyst growth 19.4%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$268.84
(+21%)
Market implied 19.4%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$153.09
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.9 to 23.3
Stabilization Target:
$260.71
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-24
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-12
Janet E Jackson
SELL
1410 shares
2026-03-09
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