IBP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBP - INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC.
$222.94
-2.22 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
-1.97%
30d:
-0.48%
90d:
-22.74%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
Get Alerted When IBP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$364.86
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$226.55
1.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBP is currently trading at $222.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $221.39 to $231.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (23.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $211.48, while resistance sits at $240.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $211.48, while resistance sits at $240.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$221.39 -
$231.15
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($233.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$221.39 -
$231.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$211.48
Resistance Level
$240.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.92
Wall Street Target
$233.27
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.3%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 23.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$212.46
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$202.48
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$192.96
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→23)
$222.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.5%)
$313.22
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$300.98
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$255.83
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.14
Bull Case
$303.28
(+36%)
Analyst growth 22.5%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$275.71
(+24%)
Market implied 22.5%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$153.11
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.9 to 23.0
Stabilization Target:
$257.42
(+15.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is IBP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-24
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-12
Janet E Jackson
SELL
1410 shares
2026-03-09
Top Rated Residential Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Residential Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TOL
Toll Brothers Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$168 | 55 HOLD |
|
PHM
PulteGroup Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$141 | 60 BUY |
|
DHI
DR Horton Inc |
HOLD
21 analysts |
$164 | 56 HOLD |
|
TMHC
Taylor Morn Home |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$67 | 53 HOLD |
|
LEN
Lennar Corporation |
SELL
21 analysts |
$87 | 57 HOLD |
