INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS (IBP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBP - INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS, INC.
$193.00
0.30 (0.16%)
▲
5d:
-3.61%
30d:
-18.05%
90d:
-14.5%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IBP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IBP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$355.81
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$220.93
12.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBP is currently trading at $193.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $194.01 to $233.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $186.64, while resistance sits at $213.25.
Market Sentiment: IBP scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $239.92 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $186.64, while resistance sits at $213.25.
Market Sentiment: IBP scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $239.92 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$194.01 -
$233.86
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($239.92)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 33% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$194.01 -
$233.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$186.64
Resistance Level
$213.25
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.87
Wall Street Target
$239.92
(+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
8.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$175.63
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$159.82
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$145.44
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→22)
$193.13
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.6%)
$307.44
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.6%)
$254.22
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.6%)
$216.08
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.31
Bull Case
$260.50
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.9%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$236.82
(+23%)
Market implied 22.9%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$131.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$256.29
(+32.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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