Icon (ICLR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ICLR - Icon Plc

Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research
$162.05
0.20 (0.12%) ▲
5d: -5.97%
30d: +1.38%
90d: -5.2%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 25d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ICLR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$206.66
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$128.32
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ICLR is currently trading at $162.05, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $163.21 to $172.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ICLR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $160.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $186.76 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $163.21 - $172.54
Company Quality Score 40/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($186.76)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with 1.2% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $163.21 - $172.54
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $160.41
Resistance Level $176.70
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.69
Wall Street Target $186.76 (+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -63.3%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.6% premium
PE vs Historical 13.7 vs 12.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $169.30 (+5%)
2-Year Target $177.08 (+9%)
3-Year Target $185.23 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→12) PE COMPRESSION $162.34 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.7%) $336.40 (+108%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 11.7%) $225.78 (+40%)
Bear: (PE: 11.6, Growth: 11.7%) $191.91 (+19%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.75 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.97
Bull Case $195.43 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case $161.85 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case $123.82 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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