Icon (ICLR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ICLR - Icon Plc

Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research
$169.31
3.62 (2.18%) ▲
5d: +3.5%
30d: +1.28%
90d: +12.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICLR trades at premium valuation expecting 6.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$206.48
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$128.21
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ICLR is currently trading at $169.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $161.14 to $170.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ICLR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $156.70, while resistance sits at $175.63.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $161.14 - $170.44
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.8%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($185.56)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.6% growth with 1.2% revenue growth
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $161.14 - $170.44
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $156.70
Resistance Level $175.63
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.26
Wall Street Target $185.56 (+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -63.3%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.6% premium
PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 11.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $180.48 (+7%)
2-Year Target $192.40 (+14%)
3-Year Target $205.09 (+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→12) PE COMPRESSION $169.74 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.2%) $338.11 (+100%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 12.2%) $239.00 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 11.8, Growth: 12.2%) $197.81 (+17%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.35 | Forward EPS (Implied): $11.80
Bull Case $204.44 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case $169.31 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case $129.52 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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