ICLR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICLR - Icon Plc
$142.67
1.94 (1.38%)
▲
5d:
-3.42%
30d:
+22.39%
90d:
+42.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 23, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ICLR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ICLR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$182.80
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICLR is currently trading at $142.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $121.55 to $149.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICLR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $113.94, while resistance sits at $156.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICLR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $113.94, while resistance sits at $156.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$121.55 -
$149.82
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
18th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($154.19)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 12.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$121.55 -
$149.82
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.92
(8.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.94
Resistance Level
$156.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.20
Wall Street Target
$154.19
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.7%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$148.38
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$154.31
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$160.48
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$143.42
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$348.38
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 11.0%)
$195.09
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$165.83
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.90
Bull Case
$309.61
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.4
Base Case
$281.46
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.5
Bear Case
$95.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICLR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ICLR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ICLR price and gamma walls.
