INGM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGM - Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
$28.33
0.02 (0.07%)
▲
5d:
-5.85%
30d:
+9.93%
90d:
+29.18%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INGM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: INGM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.19
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGM is currently trading at $28.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.52 to $30.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.42 (+10.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.42 (+10.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.52 -
$30.02
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding INGM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.42)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.52 -
$30.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.62
Resistance Level
$30.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.69
Wall Street Target
$31.42
(+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.8%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 7.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.18
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$30.06
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$30.96
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.19
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$114.06
(+303%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 12.4%)
$40.26
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 12.4%)
$34.22
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.52
Bull Case
$62.28
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$56.62
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$19.25
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INGM price and gamma walls.
