INGM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGM - Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
$30.82
-0.82 (-2.59%)
▼
5d:
+13.23%
30d:
+9.91%
90d:
+17.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INGM trades at premium valuation expecting 7.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: INGM trades at premium valuation expecting 7.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.64
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGM is currently trading at $30.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.86 to $29.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INGM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INGM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.86 -
$29.48
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding INGM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.42)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.5% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.86 -
$29.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.35
Resistance Level
$31.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.58
Wall Street Target
$31.42
(-0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.8%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 6.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.01
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$36.56
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$39.31
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.59
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.4%)
$114.74
(+263%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 12.4%)
$44.96
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 12.4%)
$36.14
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.54
Bull Case
$59.88
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$54.44
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$18.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 4:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:40 PM
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INGM price and gamma walls.
