Inspire Medical Systems (INSP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INSP - Inspire Medical Systems, Inc.
$70.78
1.42 (2.05%)
â˛
5d:
+2.86%
30d:
+15.05%
90d:
+50.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: INSP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: INSP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.49
Based on 13.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INSP is currently trading at $70.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.62 to $73.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 46.0) compared to its historical average (37.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INSP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.13, while resistance sits at $78.80.
Market Sentiment: INSP scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $62.80. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INSP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.13, while resistance sits at $78.80.
Market Sentiment: INSP scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $62.80. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$62.62 -
$73.03
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.3%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.3% above Wall St target ($62.80)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.7% growth expectation is conservative given 308% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.62 -
$73.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.13
Resistance Level
$78.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.96
Wall Street Target
$62.80
(-11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
308.4%
Profit Margin
15.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
46.0 vs 37.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.52
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$80.58
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$85.98
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46â38)
PE COMPRESSION
$70.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.0, Growth: 23.4%)
$133.13
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 23.4%)
$59.09
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 23.4%)
$50.22
(-29%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.53
Bull Case
$38.15
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$34.68
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$47.16
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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