MDT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDT - Medtronic plc
$82.39
0.38 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
+4.03%
30d:
+2.11%
90d:
-7.06%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
Get Alerted When MDT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$124.48
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDT is currently trading at $82.39, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.91 to $82.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.14, while resistance sits at $85.99.
Market Sentiment: MDT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.73 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.14, while resistance sits at $85.99.
Market Sentiment: MDT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.73 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$77.91 -
$82.56
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($97.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.91 -
$82.56
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.14
Resistance Level
$85.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.60
Wall Street Target
$97.73
(+18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.08
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$77.84
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$75.66
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$82.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.6%)
$173.59
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 9.6%)
$108.39
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 9.6%)
$92.13
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.65
Bull Case
$149.73
(+82%)
Analyst growth 66.0%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case
$136.12
(+65%)
Market implied 66.0%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$55.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$89.66
(+8.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 10, 2026 9:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MDT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Kevin Hern
SELL
2026-03-20
Top Rated Medical Devices Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Medical Devices by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BSX
Boston Scientific Corp |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$75 | 65 BUY |
|
DXCM
DexCom Inc |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$85 | 65 BUY |
|
SYK
Stryker Corporation |
BUY
32 analysts |
$387 | 62 BUY |
|
ABT
Abbott Laboratories |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$117 | 64 BUY |
|
PODD
Insulet Corporation |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$240 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced MDT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDT price and gamma walls.
