Medtronic (MDT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$101.61
+0.02 (+0.02%)
▲
5d:
-3.19%
30d:
+9.25%
90d:
+12.18%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
11d
Protect MDT Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$90.24 – $100.59
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.8x
FAIR
vs 14.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$105.00
+3.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$95.17 / $106.20
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MDT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 3, 2026 at $99.63 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.32
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDT is currently trading at $101.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.24 to $100.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $95.17, while resistance sits at $106.20.
Market Sentiment: MDT scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $95.17, while resistance sits at $106.20.
Market Sentiment: MDT scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$90.24 -
$100.59
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$90.24 -
$100.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$95.17
Resistance Level
$106.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MDT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($105.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.77
Wall Street Target
$105.00
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.7%
Profit Margin
13.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.78
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$110.11
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$114.63
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$101.83
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.6%)
$158.29
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 9.6%)
$133.67
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.6%)
$113.62
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.07
Bull Case
$166.34
(+64%)
Analyst growth 48.9%, PE expands to 27.5
Base Case
$151.22
(+49%)
Market implied 48.9%, PE stable at 25.0
Bear Case
$69.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MDT)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Medtronic (MDT) saw a bullish response from traders after the release of positive SPYRAL AFFIRM study results and FDA label expansion. The company is aiming for higher growth than its historical mid-single-digit revenue and high single-digit EPS.
Key Retail Themes:
Medtronic's growth aspirations
Positive clinical trial results
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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