JBT Marel (JBTM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBTM - JBT Marel Corporation
$109.69
2.59 (2.42%)
▲
5d:
+3.55%
30d:
-3.17%
90d:
-20.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBTM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBTM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.64
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.38
19.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBTM is currently trading at $109.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.73 to $111.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 833.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBTM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $109.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JBTM scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.06 (+52.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBTM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $109.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JBTM scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.06 (+52.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$105.73 -
$111.20
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.3% below Wall St target ($167.06)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$105.73 -
$111.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.97
Resistance Level
$109.79
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.89
Wall Street Target
$167.06
(+52.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
833.3%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 15.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.91
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$92.84
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$85.41
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$109.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.9%)
$278.27
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 14.9%)
$166.54
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 14.9%)
$141.56
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.62
Bull Case
$235.62
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.5
Base Case
$214.20
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case
$72.83
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 15.2
Stabilization Target:
$140.27
(+27.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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