JBTM
JBT Marel Corporation
SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY (NO METALWORKING MACHINERY)
JBT Marel (JBTM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$126.56
-3.18 (-2.45%)
▼
5d:
+0.23%
30d:
+18.71%
90d:
+7.68%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
24/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$103.59 – $120.94
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.5x
CHEAP
vs 15.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$162.71
+28.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$107.99 / $131.29
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JBTM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$216.50
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$134.43
5.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBTM is currently trading at $126.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.59 to $120.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBTM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $107.99, while resistance sits at $131.29.
Market Sentiment: JBTM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.71 (+28.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBTM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $107.99, while resistance sits at $131.29.
Market Sentiment: JBTM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.71 (+28.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$103.59 -
$120.94
Company Quality Score
24/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$103.59 -
$120.94
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$107.99
Resistance Level
$131.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($162.71)
- WARNING: Composite score 24/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.52
Wall Street Target
$162.71
(+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Profit Margin
5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 15.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.00
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$117.61
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$113.38
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$126.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.9%)
$274.69
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 13.9%)
$186.94
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 13.9%)
$158.90
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.74
Bull Case
$285.43
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$259.48
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.7
Bear Case
$88.22
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$141.40
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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