JKHY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JKHY - Henry (Jack) & Associates
$128.06
2.81 (2.24%)
▲
5d:
-0.95%
30d:
-8.65%
90d:
-19.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JKHY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JKHY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$224.30
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$139.27
8.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JKHY is currently trading at $128.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.39 to $138.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.0) compared to its historical average (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JKHY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $124.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $186.62 (+45.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JKHY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $124.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $186.62 (+45.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$127.39 -
$138.41
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.7% below Wall St target ($186.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$127.39 -
$138.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.78
Resistance Level
$141.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.03
Wall Street Target
$186.62
(+45.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 23.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.17
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$107.22
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$98.10
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→24)
$127.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$195.79
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 8.2%)
$162.09
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 8.2%)
$137.77
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.17
Bull Case
$136.47
(+7%)
Analyst growth -0.9%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$124.07
(-3%)
Market implied -0.9%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$85.17
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.0 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$166.90
(+30.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 2:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JKHY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-06
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