JKHY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JKHY - Henry (Jack) & Associates
$170.51
4.31 (2.59%)
▲
5d:
+13.77%
30d:
+13.24%
90d:
+21.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JKHY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JKHY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$223.13
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JKHY is currently trading at $170.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $149.38 to $157.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.4) is in line with its historical norms (23.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JKHY is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $170.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JKHY scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.43 (+13.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JKHY is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $170.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JKHY scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.43 (+13.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$149.38 -
$157.31
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JKHY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($188.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 4.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$149.38 -
$157.31
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$149.19
Resistance Level
$170.49
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.40
Wall Street Target
$188.43
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Profit Margin
19.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 23.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$167.03
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$167.87
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$168.71
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$165.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: 8.9%)
$214.80
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.9%)
$184.22
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 8.9%)
$156.58
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.98
Bull Case
$184.76
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.7%, PE expands to 26.0
Base Case
$167.97
(+1%)
Market implied 1.7%, PE stable at 23.7
Bear Case
$112.25
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 4:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JKHY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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