Jackson Financial (JXN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$138.63
-0.81 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
+4.45%
30d:
+6.61%
90d:
+2.45%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (66%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$130.28 – $136.73
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.3x
FAIR
vs 4.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$150.25
+8.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
14th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$130.59 / $150.00
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$229.72
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.64
2.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JXN is currently trading at $138.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $130.28 to $136.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.3) is in line with its historical norms (4.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JXN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.59, while resistance sits at $150.00.
Market Sentiment: JXN scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JXN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.59, while resistance sits at $150.00.
Market Sentiment: JXN scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$130.28 -
$136.73
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
14th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$130.28 -
$136.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.33
(4.6%)
Support Level
$130.59
Resistance Level
$150.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 14th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($150.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.28
Wall Street Target
$150.25
(+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1244.6%
Profit Margin
13.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 4.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$138.77
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$138.91
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$139.05
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$139.54
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.3%)
$1037.81
(+649%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 17.3%)
$223.90
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: 17.3%)
$190.32
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.18
Bull Case
$306.77
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$278.88
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$94.82
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (JXN)
Bullish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment dominates on StockTwits as traders express confidence in $JXN, with one trader purchasing insurance in anticipation of potential earnings volatility.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Earnings expectations
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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