KD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KD - Kyndryl Holdings, Inc.
$12.28
-0.32 (-2.54%)
▼
5d:
+4.33%
30d:
-14.66%
90d:
-6.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.21
36.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KD is currently trading at $12.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.55 to $13.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.5) compared to its historical average (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.48, while resistance sits at $13.01.
Market Sentiment: KD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.10 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.48, while resistance sits at $13.01.
Market Sentiment: KD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.10 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.55 -
$13.58
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.10)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.55 -
$13.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.48
Resistance Level
$13.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.49
Wall Street Target
$14.10
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.1%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 7.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.27
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$10.35
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$9.50
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$12.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 28.5%)
$103.98
(+747%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: 28.5%)
$26.04
(+112%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 28.5%)
$22.13
(+80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$26.22
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$23.84
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$8.11
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.5 to 7.1
Stabilization Target:
$15.89
(+29.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J. French Hill
SELL
2025-12-31
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