What is the fair value of KD stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for KD to be between $12.63 and $13.76. The current price is $13.15.

What is the analyst price target for KD?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for KD is $14.20. This implies a potential upside of 8.0% from current levels.

Kyndryl (KD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KD - Kyndryl Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN

$13.15

0.47 (3.71%) ▲

5d: -1.42%

30d: +0.54%

90d: +16.58%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $13.15 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 5.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: KD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$28.77

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$17.86

26.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KD is currently trading at $13.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.63 to $13.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.9) compared to its historical average (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.41, while resistance sits at $13.69. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $12.63 - $13.76

Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.20)
WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.63 - $13.76

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.41

Resistance Level $13.69

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.88

Wall Street Target $14.20 (+8.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -73.1%

Profit Margin 0.6%

Valuation Discount vs History -3.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 5.9 vs 6.6 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $12.68 (-4%)

2-Year Target $12.22 (-7%)

3-Year Target $11.78 (-10%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→7) $13.23 (+1%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 28.5%) $95.72 (+628%)

Base: (SPY PE: 5.9, Growth: 28.5%) $27.88 (+112%)

Bear: (PE: 5.0, Growth: 28.5%) $23.70 (+80%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 35.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36

Bull Case $27.90 (+112%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.7

Base Case $25.36 (+93%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.2

Bear Case $8.62 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.9 to 6.6

Stabilization Target: $14.77 (+12.3%)

PE Expansion Potential: +12.3%

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Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM

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