KD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KD - Kyndryl Holdings, Inc.
$12.55
0.24 (1.95%)
â˛
5d:
-4.71%
30d:
+7.63%
90d:
+3.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.86
29.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KD is currently trading at $12.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.03 to $13.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KD scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.20 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KD scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.20 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.03 -
$13.76
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.03 -
$13.76
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.23
Resistance Level
$14.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.61
Wall Street Target
$14.20
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.1%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.6 vs 6.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.87
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$11.23
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$10.62
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â7)
$12.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 28.5%)
$95.25
(+659%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 28.5%)
$26.61
(+112%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 28.5%)
$22.62
(+80%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$27.08
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.6
Base Case
$24.62
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.3
Bear Case
$8.37
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 6.6
Stabilization Target:
$14.77
(+17.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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