Is KD stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, KD is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of KD stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for KD to be between $11.39 and $13.52. The current price is $14.76.

What is the analyst price target for KD?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for KD is $14.20. This implies a potential upside of -3.8% from current levels.

Kyndryl (KD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KD - Kyndryl Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN

$14.76

-0.44 (-2.89%) ▼

5d: +11.73%

30d: +25.72%

90d: +15.67%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your KD Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 10d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 12, 2026 at $11.71 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$27.89

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$17.32

14.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KD is currently trading at $14.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.39 to $13.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (6.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.61, while resistance sits at $15.23.

Market Sentiment: KD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $11.39 - $13.52

Company Quality Score 31/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 22.4%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.2% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.20)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with -3.3% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.39 - $13.52

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.61

Resistance Level $15.23

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.59

Wall Street Target $14.20 (-3.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -73.1%

Profit Margin 0.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.8% premium

PE vs Historical 6.6 vs 6.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $14.88 (+1%)

2-Year Target $15.00 (+2%)

3-Year Target $15.12 (+2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→6) PE COMPRESSION $14.67 (-1%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.5%) $94.25 (+539%)

Base: (SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 28.5%) $31.30 (+112%)

Bear: (PE: 5.6, Growth: 28.5%) $26.60 (+80%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 38.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.39

Bull Case $33.44 (+127%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.9

Base Case $30.40 (+106%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.0

Bear Case $10.34 (-30%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 24, 2026 11:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:27 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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