KRP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRP - Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$14.90
-0.20 (-1.32%)
▼
5d:
-0.13%
30d:
-1.97%
90d:
-2.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRP appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.5% annual earnings decline despite 1889% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRP appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.5% annual earnings decline despite 1889% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.74
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.47
19.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRP is currently trading at $14.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.78 to $15.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1889.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $14.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KRP scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $14.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KRP scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.78 -
$15.24
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($19.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.78 -
$15.24
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.74
Resistance Level
$15.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.19
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1889.4%
Profit Margin
25.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 19.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.41
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.07
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.86
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→20)
$15.16
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.9%)
$28.90
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 10.9%)
$20.33
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 10.9%)
$17.28
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$20.52
(+38%)
Analyst growth 23.5%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$18.65
(+25%)
Market implied 23.5%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$10.27
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$20.79
(+39.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Blayne Rhynsburger
SELL
6609 shares
2026-03-23
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