KRP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRP - Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$16.44
-0.13 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
+4.18%
30d:
+15.05%
90d:
+8.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KRP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KRP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.91
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRP is currently trading at $16.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.38 to $15.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1889.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $16.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRP scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.20 (+16.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $16.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRP scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.20 (+16.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.38 -
$15.54
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.38 -
$15.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.98
Resistance Level
$16.63
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.86
Wall Street Target
$19.20
(+16.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1889.4%
Profit Margin
25.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 19.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.45
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$14.53
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$13.65
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$16.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -3.7%)
$18.38
(+12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: -3.7%)
$14.67
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: -3.7%)
$12.47
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$22.23
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.0%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$20.21
(+23%)
Market implied 22.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$11.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$19.80
(+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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