KRP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRP - Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$14.70
-0.08 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
+1.45%
30d:
-3.98%
90d:
+2.23%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.24
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRP is currently trading at $14.70, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.56 to $15.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+29.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+29.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.56 -
$15.23
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($19.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.56 -
$15.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.51
Resistance Level
$15.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.09
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.9%
Profit Margin
23.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 20.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.86
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$13.07
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$12.33
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$14.71
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.8%)
$19.75
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 1.8%)
$15.50
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 1.8%)
$13.17
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$30.40
(+107%)
Analyst growth 87.0%, PE expands to 35.3
Base Case
$27.63
(+88%)
Market implied 87.0%, PE stable at 32.1
Bear Case
$10.05
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 20.4
Stabilization Target:
$17.54
(+19.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Blayne Rhynsburger
SELL
6609 shares
2026-03-23
August Pfluger
BUY
2026-03-13
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