KRP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KRP - Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$15.40
0.23 (1.52%) ▲
5d: +1.99%
30d: +1.52%
90d: +0.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KRP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.38
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.42
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KRP is currently trading at $15.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.68 to $15.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.5) compared to its historical average (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1889.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $15.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.20 (+24.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $14.68 - $15.15
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.7% below Wall St target ($19.20)
  • WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $14.68 - $15.15
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.75
Resistance Level $15.46
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.50
Wall Street Target $19.20 (+24.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 37.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1889.4%
Profit Margin 25.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.5 vs 20.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.74 (-4%)
2-Year Target $14.10 (-8%)
3-Year Target $13.50 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→20) $15.43 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -2.2%) $16.51 (+7%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: -2.2%) $14.40 (-7%)
Bear: (PE: 14.9, Growth: -2.2%) $12.24 (-21%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case $17.08 (+11%)
Analyst growth 2.3%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case $15.52 (+1%)
Market implied 2.3%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case $10.32 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 20.0
Stabilization Target: $17.60 (+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.3%
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Blayne Rhynsburger SELL 6609 shares 2026-03-23
August Pfluger BUY 2026-03-13

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