Littelfuse (LFUS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LFUS - Littelfuse Inc
$452.25
16.70 (3.83%)
▲
5d:
+5.37%
30d:
+10.17%
90d:
+7.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LFUS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LFUS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$786.67
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$488.46
7.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LFUS is currently trading at $452.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $403.71 to $429.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.7) is in line with its historical norms (23.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LFUS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $437.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: LFUS scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $488.75 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LFUS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $437.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: LFUS scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $488.75 (+12.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$403.71 -
$429.26
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($488.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$403.71 -
$429.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$401.69
Resistance Level
$437.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.68
Wall Street Target
$488.75
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.7%
Profit Margin
-0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.7 vs 23.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$425.10
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$414.89
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$404.94
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→23)
$435.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.7, Growth: 18.1%)
$717.21
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 18.1%)
$674.95
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 18.1%)
$573.71
(+32%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.7 to 23.3
Stabilization Target:
$468.16
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LFUS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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