LFUS Littelfuse Inc SWITCHGEAR & SWITCHBOARD APPARATUS

Littelfuse (LFUS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$397.70
+14.33 (+3.74%) ▲
5d: +2.91% 30d: -4.18% 90d: -11.62%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$367.29 – $421.99
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.8x CHEAP
vs 22.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$496.25
+24.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$347.69 / $417.02
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: LFUS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$890.74
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$553.08
28.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LFUS is currently trading at $397.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $367.29 to $421.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LFUS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $347.69, while resistance sits at $417.02. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $496.25 (+24.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $367.29 - $421.99
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $367.29 - $421.99
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $347.69
Resistance Level $417.02
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($496.25)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.83
Wall Street Target $496.25 (+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 22.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 62.1%
Profit Margin 1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.8 vs 22.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $366.28 (-8%)
2-Year Target $337.35 (-15%)
3-Year Target $310.70 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→23) $397.39 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.0%) $764.92 (+92%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 20.0%) $686.58 (+73%)
Bear: (PE: 15.2, Growth: 20.0%) $583.59 (+47%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.42 | Forward EPS (Implied): $22.83
Bull Case $480.22 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case $397.70 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case $304.24 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 22.8
Stabilization Target: $508.67 (+27.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +27.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LFUS)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The latest article raises concerns about LFUS's declining earnings, revenue, and ROIC, despite its recent stock price rally. The author suggests avoiding LFUS and recommends an alternative stock.
Key Retail Themes: company performance investment thesis
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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