LFUS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LFUS - Littelfuse Inc

SWITCHGEAR & SWITCHBOARD APPARATUS
$407.22
-7.94 (-1.91%) ▼
5d: -3.51%
30d: -7.33%
90d: +6.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LFUS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$676.85
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$420.27
3.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LFUS is currently trading at $407.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $423.69 to $476.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.6) is in line with its historical norms (23.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 69.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LFUS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $395.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: LFUS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $486.25 (+19.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $423.69 - $476.18
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($486.25)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $423.69 - $476.18
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $395.39
Resistance Level $460.16
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.59
Wall Street Target $486.25 (+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 69.1%
Profit Margin -1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.6 vs 23.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $405.59 (0%)
2-Year Target $403.97 (-1%)
3-Year Target $402.35 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→24) $407.70 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.6, Growth: 17.0%) $651.73 (+60%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.0%) $601.82 (+48%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.0%) $511.55 (+26%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.6 to 23.9
Stabilization Target: $412.63 (+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.3%
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kristina A Cerniglia SELL 2343 shares 2026-02-24
Gordon Hunter SELL 911 shares 2026-02-20
Anthony Grillo SELL 5000 shares 2026-02-10

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