MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
MINING & QUARRYING OF NONMETALLIC MINERALS (NO FUELS)
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$524.13
-4.08 (-0.77%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.83%
30d:
+10.95%
90d:
-3.79%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect MLM Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$484.50 â $532.89
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
29.2x
FAIR
vs 25.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$634.63
+21.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$506.20 / $571.63
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MLM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$795.46
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$493.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLM is currently trading at $524.13, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $484.50 to $532.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.2) compared to its historical average (25.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $506.20, while resistance sits at $571.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $634.62 (+21.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $506.20, while resistance sits at $571.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $634.62 (+21.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$484.50 -
$532.89
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$484.50 -
$532.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$23.07
(4.4%)
Support Level
$506.20
Resistance Level
$571.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MLM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($634.62)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with 28.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.22
Wall Street Target
$634.63
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.5%
Profit Margin
31.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
29.2 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$545.62
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$567.99
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$591.28
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29â26)
PE COMPRESSION
$524.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.2, Growth: 20.6%)
$919.13
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.6%)
$624.70
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 20.6%)
$530.99
(+1%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.40
Bull Case
$777.76
(+48%)
Analyst growth 33.9%, PE expands to 43.4
Base Case
$707.06
(+35%)
Market implied 33.9%, PE stable at 39.4
Bear Case
$359.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MLM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 31, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding $MLM, the premier global heavy building materials leader with a market cap of $31B.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment towards $MLM as a leading materials and building aggregates company
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL
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