MOV
Movado Group, Inc.
WATCHES, CLOCKS, CLOCKWORK OPERATED DEVICES/PARTS
Movado Group (MOV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$32.57
+0.46 (+1.43%)
â˛
5d:
-0.73%
30d:
+0.8%
90d:
-9.1%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (82%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$31.38 â $32.76
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.2x
FAIR
vs 19.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$47.50
+45.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$30.63 / $33.20
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MOV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.68
11.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOV is currently trading at $32.57, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.38 to $32.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MOV scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+45.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MOV scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+45.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$31.38 -
$32.76
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$31.38 -
$32.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$2.01
(6.2%)
Support Level
$30.63
Resistance Level
$33.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.8% below Wall St target ($47.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.15
Wall Street Target
$47.50
(+45.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
307.7%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 19.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.35
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$34.15
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$34.97
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.1, Growth: 34.3%)
$78.83
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 34.3%)
$74.02
(+127%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 34.3%)
$62.92
(+93%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.81
Bull Case
$30.05
(-8%)
Analyst growth -14.9%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$27.32
(-16%)
Market implied -14.9%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$21.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MOV)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages suggest a bullish outlook for $MOV, with traders comparing it to TME and using bullish emojis. No recent news articles were available for analysis.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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