MOV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOV - Movado Group, Inc.
$38.69
-0.56 (-1.43%)
▼
5d:
+4.17%
30d:
+40.69%
90d:
+61.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When MOV Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MOV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MOV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOV is currently trading at $38.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.21 to $39.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.1) compared to its historical average (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.50 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$30.21 -
$39.24
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
17th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 17th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($47.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 12.7% growth expectation is conservative given 400% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.21 -
$39.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.00
(5.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.40
Resistance Level
$38.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.12
Wall Street Target
$47.50
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
400.0%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.7% premium
PE vs Historical
25.1 vs 17.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.60
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$49.14
(+27%)
3-Year Target
$55.38
(+43%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.1, Growth: 34.3%)
$93.64
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.3%)
$81.18
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 34.3%)
$65.23
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$47.16
(+22%)
Analyst growth 9.2%, PE expands to 30.6
Base Case
$42.87
(+11%)
Market implied 9.2%, PE stable at 27.8
Bear Case
$26.69
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:41 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Luxury Goods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Luxury Goods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TPR
Tapestry Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$164 | 64 BUY |
|
CPRI
Capri Holdings Ltd |
SELL
16 analysts |
$26 | 50 HOLD |
|
SIG
Signet Jewelers Ltd |
HOLD
10 analysts |
$110 | 54 HOLD |
|
REAL
TheRealReal Inc |
HOLD
7 analysts |
$17 | 53 HOLD |
|
LUXE
LuxExperience B.V. |
HOLD
5 analysts |
$9 | 56 HOLD |
