Why is MPC Up Today?

MPC
$403.03
▲ +2.70% (+$10.90)
Last updated: Sep 11, 2026 6:35 PM ET (557 min ago)

About MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION

Marathon Petroleum is an independent refiner with 13 refineries in the midcontinent, West Coast, and Gulf Coast of the United States with total throughput capacity of 3.0 million barrels per day. Its Dickinson, North Dakota, facility produces 184 million gallons a year of renewable diesel. Its Marti...

Sector: PETROLEUM REFINING
Market Cap: $58.47B
Forward P/E: 14.6
52-Week Range: $161.93 - $409.11
Employees: 18,300

Overall Confidence: 65%

65% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SECTOR 65% Confidence
🎯 PETROLEUM REFINING sector moving together
This appears to be a sector-wide move. The PETROLEUM REFINING sector is up 1.5% on average.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.5x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

PETROLEUM REFINING sector: +1.5%

This appears to be a sector-wide move. Most PETROLEUM REFINING stocks are moving in the same direction.

Market Comparison

MPC is outperforming the market (+1.9% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.85%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.87%
MPC
This Stock
+2.70%
vs S&P 500: +1.85%
vs Nasdaq: +1.83%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, MPC is expected to trade between:
$394.97 - $415.12

Key Level to Watch

$423.18 resistance
Watch for continuation above $403.03

🔔 Get MPC Alerts

We'll notify you when MPC's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Sep 11, 2026 6:35 PM (557 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bearish
Options Sentiment
2.37
Put/Call Ratio
53.1%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 5,746
Put Volume: 13,644
Total: 19,390
Unusual Activity: $390 PUT (1,912 vol) $390 PUT (1,779 vol) $370 PUT (1,292 vol)

Historical Context

MPC has moved more than 3.0% up on 21 occasions in the past year.

71.4%
Continuation Rate
15/21 times continued up
+0.95%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar up moves
Last similar move: Aug 12, 2026 (3.5%) → Next day: +2.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is MPC stock up today?

This appears to be a sector-wide move. The PETROLEUM REFINING sector is up 1.5% on average.

Is MPC stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, MPC shows 65% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the MPC stock price target?

MPC is currently trading at $403.03. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $394.97 - $415.12. See long-term price prediction →

Will MPC stock continue rising?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that MPC's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $423.18 (resistance).

Is MPC stock oversold or overbought?

MPC's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 74.2. This indicates overbought conditions - the stock may be due for a pullback as buying pressure appears stretched.

What is the momentum for MPC stock?

MPC's 10-day momentum indicator is at 32.39. Strong bullish momentum - the stock is gaining significant upward force. This often precedes continued gains.

Is MPC outperforming or underperforming the market?

MPC (+2.70%) is currently outperforming the market (+1.9% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.85%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.87%.

What does MACD indicate for MPC?

MPC's MACD (19.17) is currently above the signal line (18.89), indicating a bullish trend. This technical signal suggests buying pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 46.5) is strong.

Is MPC in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, MPC is in a bullish trend. The price ($403.03) is trading above both the 20-day SMA ($373.85) and 50-day SMA ($333.01). This alignment typically indicates sustained upward momentum.

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