MSEX
Middlesex Water Co
WATER SUPPLY
Middlesex Water (MSEX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$57.40
+0.12 (+0.21%)
â˛
5d:
-4.13%
30d:
+6.47%
90d:
-1.07%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$53.63 â $58.13
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.7x
FAIR
vs 18.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$61.00
+6.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$56.50 / $60.72
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MSEX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.97
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSEX is currently trading at $57.40, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.63 to $58.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.7) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSEX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $56.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSEX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $56.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$53.63 -
$58.13
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$53.63 -
$58.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$56.50
Resistance Level
$60.72
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($61.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.73
Wall Street Target
$61.00
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Profit Margin
24.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.55
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$59.72
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$60.91
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â19)
PE COMPRESSION
$57.44
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.7%)
$66.29
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 4.7%)
$65.83
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 4.7%)
$55.96
(-3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.77
Bull Case
$66.19
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.1%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$60.18
(+5%)
Market implied 5.1%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$38.95
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MSEX)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 31, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits users express bullish sentiment towards $MSEX following recent dividend increases of $ATR, $GRC, $AUB, and $V. No new news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividend Increases
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 6:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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