MSTX Tidal Trust II Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF

MSTX ETF Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$8.75
-0.47 (-5.10%) β–Ό
5d: -26.16% 30d: -49.6% 90d: +1.86%
Open in Live Scanner 70/30 Portfolio Builder Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (47%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$11.64 – $17.86
Position: OVERSOLD
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.21 / $15.35
Trend: Support Break
πŸ’‘Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MSTX is down 26.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MSTX is currently trading at $8.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.64 to $17.86.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTX is showing support break momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.21, while resistance sits at $15.35. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: MSTX scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $11.64 - $17.86
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $11.64 - $17.86
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $8.21
Resistance Level $15.35
Current Trend Support Break
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MSTX)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Oct 22, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on MSTX are bullish (sentiment score +0.18) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 8:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 PM
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