NABL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NABL - N-able, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$3.10
0.10 (3.17%) ▲
5d: -2.06%
30d: -13.06%
90d: -38.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 5.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NABL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.34
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.18
40.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NABL is currently trading at $3.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.16 to $3.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NABL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: NABL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.85 (+128.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $3.16 - $3.81
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 128.3% below Wall St target ($6.85)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.16 - $3.81
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.22
Resistance Level $4.29
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.25
Wall Street Target $6.85 (+128.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -87.3%
Profit Margin -2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -17.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.3 vs 10.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -17.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.70 (-10%)
2-Year Target $2.43 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.19 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→11) $3.81 (+27%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.7%) $16.18 (+439%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 15.7%) $4.64 (+55%)
Bear: (PE: 5.3, Growth: 15.7%) $3.95 (+32%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 10.9
Stabilization Target: $5.23 (+74.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +74.4%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NABL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NABL price and gamma walls.

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